First National Corp Stock Beneish M Score

FXNC Stock  USD 22.55  0.39  1.70%   
This module uses fundamental data of First National to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. First National M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out First National Piotroski F Score and First National Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, First National's Long Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt is expected to grow to about 52.5 M, whereas Net Debt is projected to grow to (21.4 M). At present, First National's Dividend Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's PTB Ratio is expected to grow to 1.40, whereas Days Sales Outstanding is forecasted to decline to 31.86.
At this time, it appears that First National Corp is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if First National's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by First National executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of First National's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.99
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

2.02

Focus
Asset Quality

0.97

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.89

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.32

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.52

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

First National Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if First National's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables4.9 M4.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue25.5 M49 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets141.8 M87.2 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.4 B1.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment21.8 M25.2 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And AmortizationM1.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative11.3 M21.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities540 M514.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total1.4 B1.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt211.8 K223 K
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt16.3 M14.3 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities8.4 M16.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments255.3 M301.1 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.790.89
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

First National Corp Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between First National's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards First National in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find First National's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About First National Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

1.04 Million

At present, First National's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

First National Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as First National. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables2.1M2.7M3.9M4.5M4.7M4.9M
Total Revenue36.6M37.7M45.0M56.9M49.0M25.5M
Total Assets800.0M950.9M1.4B1.4B1.4B1.5B
Total Current Assets168.8M270.2M469.4M321.1M87.2M141.8M
Net Debt(31.5M)(108.0M)(156.7M)(52.6M)(22.6M)(21.4M)
Long Term Debt14.3M19.3M19.3M14.3M14.3M16.3M
Operating Income11.8M10.9M12.9M23.1M11.8M13.2M
Investments(24.7M)(13.5M)(126.3M)(120.1M)(34.3M)(36.1M)

First National ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, First National's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to First National's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About First National Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze First National Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of First National using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of First National Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether First National Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First National Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First National Corp Stock:
Check out First National Piotroski F Score and First National Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First National. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
1.12
Revenue Per Share
7.779
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of First National Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.