First National Valuation

FXNC Stock  USD 24.78  0.43  1.77%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. First National Corp shows a prevailing Real Value of $22.92 per share. The current price of the firm is $24.78. Our model computes the value of First National Corp from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.14 %, current valuation of 87.94 M, and Shares Outstanding of 8.96 M as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting First National's valuation include:
Price Book
1.7458
Enterprise Value
87.9 M
Price Sales
4.5544
Forward PE
10.8225
Trailing PE
21.2946
Overvalued
Today
24.78
Please note that First National's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of First National Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing First National's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since First National is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of First Stock. However, First National's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  24.78 Real  22.92 Target  19.0 Hype  24.62 Naive  24.56
The real value of First Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of First National Corp Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on First National's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of First National's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
22.92
Real Value
24.96
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of First National Corp helps investors to forecast how First stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of First National more accurately as focusing exclusively on First National's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.170.500.43
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.5824.6226.66
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.480.500.52
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
17.2919.0021.09
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use First National's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of First National's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against First National's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for First National we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

First National Cash

91.52 Million

First Valuation Trend

Comparing First National's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of First National Corp uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

First National Total Value Analysis

First National Corp is currently estimated to have valuation of 87.94 M with market capitalization of 213.72 M, debt of 64.61 M, and cash on hands of 75.78 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the First National fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
87.94 M
213.72 M
64.61 M
75.78 M

First National Investor Information

About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First National Corp last dividend was issued on the 30th of August 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of May 2005. Based on the analysis of First National's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, First National Corp may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities8.4 M16.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

First National Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of First indicates not a very effective usage of assets in November.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

First National Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of First National Corp is $213.72 Million. First National Corp shows significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders and institutional investors . Note, that even with substantial debt, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company at some point.

First National Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 49.05 M. Net Income was 9.62 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 56.38 M.

First National Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates First National's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in First National and how it compares across the competition.

About First National Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines First National's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of First National. We calculate exposure to First National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of First National's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit49 M25.5 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.24  0.23 
Operating Profit Margin 0.24  0.23 
Net Profit Margin 0.20  0.19 
Gross Profit Margin 0.89  0.79 

First National Quarterly Retained Earnings

99.27 Million

First National's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether First National's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of First National can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of First National represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of First, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

First National Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At present, First National's Dividend Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 98.9 M, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is forecasted to decline to about 52.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid3.6 M3.8 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.37  0.30 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 3.00  2.44 
There are various types of dividends First National can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of First shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from First National Corp directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When First pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of First National by the value of the dividends paid out.

First National Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.283
Forward Price Earnings10.8225

First National Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of First National Corp and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value First we look at many different elements of the entity such as First's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as First National, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use First National's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes First National's worth.

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When running First National's price analysis, check to measure First National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First National is operating at the current time. Most of First National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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