First National Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FXNC Stock | USD 22.55 0.39 1.70% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding First National Corp is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides First National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FXNC positions.
Check out First National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as First and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards First National Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
First |
Execute First National Buy or Sell Advice
The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First National Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First National Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
First National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| First National Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 27th of September 2024 First National paid $ 0.16 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Simmons First National Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend on its Class A Common Stock, Payable on January 2, 2025 - Marketscreener.com |
First National Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of First National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First National Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First National.
| Mean Return | 0.47 | Value At Risk | -2.1 | Potential Upside | 4.07 | Standard Deviation | 1.93 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
First Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Rfg Advisory Group, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 19 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-06-30 | 18.9 K | Wealthcare Advisory Partners Llc | 2024-09-30 | 14.5 K | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 12.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 12.8 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 12.4 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 11.6 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 11.4 K | Grace & White Inc | 2024-09-30 | 10.5 K | Fourthstone Llc | 2024-06-30 | 625.7 K | Siena Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 316.3 K |
First National Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 17.2M | 81.5M | 48.7M | (109.1M) | 20.2M | 21.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 10.8M | 14.2M | 7.0M | 25.6M | 14.5M | 15.3M | |
| Depreciation | 1.6M | 1.5M | 1.4M | 1.5M | 1.6M | 1.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 807K | 3.1M | (356K) | 3.0M | 5.5M | 5.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.7M | 2.0M | 2.5M | 3.3M | 3.6M | 3.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.0M | 909K | 835K | 1.2M | 1.9M | 1.2M | |
| Net Income | 9.6M | 8.9M | 10.4M | 16.8M | 9.6M | 5.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 45.8M | 127.3M | 176.0M | 66.9M | 87.2M | 91.5M | |
| Investments | (24.7M) | (13.5M) | (126.3M) | (120.1M) | (34.3M) | (36.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | (170K) | (197K) | 48K | (652K) | (586.8K) | (557.5K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 546K | 433K | 2.4M | (1.7M) | (1.9M) | (1.8M) |
First National Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First National or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
First National Volatility Alert
First National Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.67 and kurtosis of 1.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.First National Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing First National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare First National to competition |
| Fundamentals | First National | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0595 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.005 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.14 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.23 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 87.94 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 8.96 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 14.40 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 25.91 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.1 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.45 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.62 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.14 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 49.05 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 56.38 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 13.42 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 9.62 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 75.78 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 12.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 64.61 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 14.07 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.87 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 16.39 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.59 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.12 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 24.0 | |
| Beta | 0.5 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 213.72 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.42 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 94.2 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 1.87 % | |
| Net Asset | 1.42 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.6 |
Note: Acquisition by Scott Harvard of 19725 shares of First National subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
First National Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About First National Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell First National Corp? Buying financial instruments such as First Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out First National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First National. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.12 | Revenue Per Share 7.779 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of First National Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.