Selective Insurance Group Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| SIGI Stock | USD 97.82 1.44 1.49% |
Selective | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Selective Insurance Group Company probability of distress Analysis
Selective Insurance's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Selective Insurance Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 3% |
Most of Selective Insurance's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Selective Insurance Group is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Selective Insurance probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Selective Insurance odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Selective Insurance Group financial health.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Selective Insurance. If investors know Selective will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Selective Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.035 | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 3.72 | Revenue Per Share 77.534 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.151 |
The market value of Selective Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Selective that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Selective Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Selective Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Selective Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Selective Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Selective Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Selective Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Selective Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Selective Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Selective Insurance is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Selective Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Selective Insurance's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Selective Insurance's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Selective Insurance's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Selective Insurance Group has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.99% lower than that of the Insurance sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.
Selective Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Selective Insurance's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Selective Insurance could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Selective Insurance by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Selective Insurance is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Selective Insurance Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.0225 | 0.0309 | 0.0254 | 0.0386 | 0.0208 | 0.0249 | |
| Net Debt | 549.6M | 524.8M | 500.1M | 500.9M | 501.1M | 277.7M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 126.8M | 114.9M | 121.1M | 115.2M | 128.3M | 121.8M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 6.5B | 6.8B | 7.4B | 8.2B | 8.8B | 9.3B | |
| Total Assets | 8.8B | 9.7B | 10.5B | 10.8B | 11.8B | 12.4B | |
| Total Current Assets | 300K | 394K | 455K | 26K | 1.0B | 1.1B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 477.5M | 554.0M | 771.4M | 802.4M | 758.9M | 796.9M |
Selective Insurance ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Selective Insurance's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Selective Insurance's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Selective Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0813 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0163 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.1 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 6.54 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 60.79 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.22 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.52 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.24 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 17.00 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.97 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.24 X | ||||
| Revenue | 101.17 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 740.47 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 517.25 M | ||||
| Net Income | 365.24 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 289.62 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.80 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 501.31 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.19 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.33 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 48.82 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 758.91 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 3.33 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.72 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.86 X | ||||
| Target Price | 102.17 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 2.65 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.56 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.86 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 11.8 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 3.03 B | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 1.29 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 11.8 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.4 |
About Selective Insurance Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Selective Insurance Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Selective Insurance using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Selective Insurance Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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When determining whether Selective Insurance offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Selective Insurance's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Selective Insurance Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Selective Insurance Group Stock:Check out Selective Insurance Piotroski F Score and Selective Insurance Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Selective Insurance. If investors know Selective will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Selective Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.035 | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 3.72 | Revenue Per Share 77.534 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.151 |
The market value of Selective Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Selective that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Selective Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Selective Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Selective Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Selective Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Selective Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Selective Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Selective Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.