Is Lemonade Stock a Good Investment?
Lemonade Investment Advice | LMND |
- Examine Lemonade's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Lemonade's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Lemonade navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Property & Casualty Insurance space and any emerging trends that could impact Lemonade's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Lemonade's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Lemonade is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Lemonade pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Lemonade's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Lemonade stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Lemonade is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Lemonade Stock
Researching Lemonade's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.61. Lemonade recorded a loss per share of 3.04. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Lemonade is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Lemonade's research are outlined below:
| Lemonade is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lemonade appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 429.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (236.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.4 M. | |
| Lemonade currently holds about 285.5 M in cash with (119.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.14. | |
| Lemonade has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Can Lemonade 10X its Way to Becoming the Next Big Brand in Insurance |
Lemonade Quarterly Gross Profit |
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Lemonade uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Lemonade. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Lemonade's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 28th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 1st of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 28th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Lemonade's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Lemonade's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020-11-12 | 2020-09-30 | -0.64 | -0.57 | 0.07 | 10 | ||
2024-04-30 | 2024-03-31 | -0.79 | -0.67 | 0.12 | 15 | ||
2023-05-03 | 2023-03-31 | -1.13 | -0.95 | 0.18 | 15 | ||
2024-02-27 | 2023-12-31 | -0.8 | -0.61 | 0.19 | 23 | ||
2022-08-08 | 2022-06-30 | -1.32 | -1.1 | 0.22 | 16 | ||
2022-05-09 | 2022-03-31 | -1.43 | -1.21 | 0.22 | 15 | ||
2023-02-22 | 2022-12-31 | -1.2 | -0.93 | 0.27 | 22 | ||
2020-08-12 | 2020-06-30 | -0.95 | -1.77 | -0.82 | 86 |
Know Lemonade's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Lemonade is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lemonade backward and forwards among themselves. Lemonade's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Lemonade's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 661.3 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 657.5 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-06-30 | 641.4 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 605.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 454.9 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 448.3 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 420 K | Landscape Capital Management,llc | 2024-09-30 | 321.9 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 318.3 K | Softbank Group Corp | 2024-09-30 | 12 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.2 M |
Lemonade's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.57 B.Market Cap |
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Lemonade's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.15) | (0.16) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.15) | (0.15) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.33) | (0.32) |
Determining Lemonade's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Lemonade is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Lemonade's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Lemonade's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of Lemonade's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Lemonade's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Lemonade's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Lemonade's management efficiency
Lemonade has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0742) % which means that it has lost $0.0742 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.3252) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Lemonade's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Lemonade manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.04, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to (0.16). At present, Lemonade's Non Current Assets Total are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 37.6 M, whereas Other Assets are forecasted to decline to 0.95.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 10.18 | 7.30 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 9.58 | 7.14 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 11.67 | 11.09 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 1.58 | 1.51 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 11.67 | 11.09 | |
| Price Fair Value | 1.58 | 1.51 | |
| Enterprise Value | 902.2 M | 857.1 M |
Leadership effectiveness at Lemonade is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Beta 1.677 |
Basic technical analysis of Lemonade Stock
As of the 27th of November, Lemonade secures the Mean Deviation of 3.89, downside deviation of 2.81, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2216. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Lemonade, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Lemonade jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and skewness to decide if Lemonade is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 49.16 per share. Given that Lemonade has jensen alpha of 1.41, we recommend you to check Lemonade's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Lemonade's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Lemonade insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Lemonade's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Lemonade insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Lemonade's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Lemonade issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Lemonade uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Lemonade bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Lemonade has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Boeing Co 2196 Corp BondUS097023DG73 | View | |
| HSBC Holdings PLC Corp BondUS404280DR76 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View |
Understand Lemonade's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Lemonade's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2216 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7955 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 359.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.0 | |||
| Variance | 36.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2567 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.41 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.7156 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.5488 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7855 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.80) | |||
| Potential Upside | 16.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.14) | |||
| Skewness | 2.22 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.88 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2216 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7955 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 359.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.0 | |||
| Variance | 36.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2567 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.41 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.7156 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.5488 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7855 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.80) | |||
| Potential Upside | 16.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.14) | |||
| Skewness | 2.22 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.88 |
Consider Lemonade's intraday indicators
Lemonade intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Lemonade stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 154547.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.20) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 49.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 49.29 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.58) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.77) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.82 |
Lemonade Corporate Filings
F4 | 25th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F3 | 5th of November 2024 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
10Q | 31st of October 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
8K | 30th of October 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
Lemonade Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Lemonade that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Lemonade media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Lemonade internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Lemonade data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Lemonade news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Lemonade relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Lemonade's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Lemonade alpha.
Lemonade Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Lemonade can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Lemonade Corporate Management
| Maya Prosor | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Michael Eisenberg | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Gavin Blair | Senior Operations | Profile | |
| Irina Novoselsky | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Jorge Espinel | Chief Business Development Officer | Profile |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Lemonade. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. For information on how to trade Lemonade Stock refer to our How to Trade Lemonade Stock guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lemonade. If investors know Lemonade will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lemonade listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.04) | Revenue Per Share 6.982 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.186 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (0.33) |
The market value of Lemonade is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lemonade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lemonade's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lemonade's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lemonade's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lemonade's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Lemonade's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Lemonade is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lemonade's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.