Lemonade Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

LMND Stock  USD 93.25  3.32  3.44%   
Lemonade Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lemonade stock prices and determine the direction of Lemonade's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lemonade's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of Lemonade's stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lemonade, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lemonade's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lemonade and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lemonade's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lemonade, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lemonade's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.43)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(2.35)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.64)
Wall Street Target Price
67.1111
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.70)
Using Lemonade hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lemonade from the perspective of Lemonade response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lemonade using Lemonade's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lemonade using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lemonade's stock price.

Lemonade Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Lemonade's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lemonade. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lemonade stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
52.8713
Short Percent
0.2293
Short Ratio
5.66
Shares Short Prior Month
14.3 M
50 Day MA
77.6086

Lemonade Relative Strength Index

Lemonade Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lemonade's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lemonade. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lemonade can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lemonade. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lemonade's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lemonade.

Lemonade Implied Volatility

    
  1.11  
Lemonade's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lemonade stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lemonade's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lemonade stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lemonade's options are near their expiration.

Lemonade after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 93.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lemonade to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lemonade Stock refer to our How to Trade Lemonade Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lemonade contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lemonade will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0694% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Lemonade trading at USD 93.25, that is roughly USD 0.0647 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lemonade's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lemonade options at the current volatility level of 1.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Lemonade Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lemonade's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lemonade's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lemonade stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lemonade's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lemonade's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lemonade is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lemonade. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Lemonade Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lemonade price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lemonade using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lemonade charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Lemonade has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0689. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Lemonade is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Lemonade to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Lemonade trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Lemonade VolatilityBacktest LemonadeInformation Ratio  

Lemonade Trading Date Momentum

On January 26 2026 Lemonade was traded for  93.25  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 99.34  and the lowest listed price was  92.50 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 26, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 1.63% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Lemonade to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Lemonade

For every potential investor in Lemonade, whether a beginner or expert, Lemonade's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lemonade Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lemonade. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lemonade's price trends.

Lemonade Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lemonade stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lemonade could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lemonade by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lemonade Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lemonade stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lemonade shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lemonade stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lemonade entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lemonade Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lemonade's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lemonade's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lemonade stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lemonade

The number of cover stories for Lemonade depends on current market conditions and Lemonade's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lemonade is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lemonade's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lemonade Short Properties

Lemonade's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lemonade's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lemonade often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lemonade's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lemonade's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB
When determining whether Lemonade is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lemonade's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lemonade's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lemonade Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lemonade to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lemonade Stock refer to our How to Trade Lemonade Stock guide.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lemonade. If investors know Lemonade will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lemonade listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.37)
Revenue Per Share
9.002
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.422
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.31)
The market value of Lemonade is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lemonade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lemonade's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lemonade's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lemonade's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lemonade's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lemonade's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lemonade is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lemonade's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.