Amerisafe Stock Market Value
| AMSF Stock | USD 38.18 0.19 0.50% |
| Symbol | AMERISAFE |
Can Property & Casualty Insurance industry sustain growth momentum? Does AMERISAFE have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMERISAFE. If investors know AMERISAFE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating AMERISAFE demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 1.54 | Earnings Share 2.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.042 |
Investors evaluate AMERISAFE using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating AMERISAFE's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause AMERISAFE's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AMERISAFE's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AMERISAFE represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AMERISAFE's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
AMERISAFE 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AMERISAFE's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AMERISAFE.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AMERISAFE on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMERISAFE or generate 0.0% return on investment in AMERISAFE over 90 days. AMERISAFE is related to or competes with Tiptree, Investors Title, Employers Holdings, Protector Forsikring, Trisura Group, Hippo Holdings, and First Acceptance. AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers compensation insurance in the United States More
AMERISAFE Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AMERISAFE's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMERISAFE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.84 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.96 |
AMERISAFE Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AMERISAFE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AMERISAFE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AMERISAFE historical prices to predict the future AMERISAFE's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.29) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMERISAFE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AMERISAFE February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.28) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,677) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.03 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.29) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.84 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.96 | |||
| Skewness | (0.11) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.08 |
AMERISAFE Backtested Returns
AMERISAFE secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0512, which signifies that the company had a -0.0512 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AMERISAFE exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AMERISAFE's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), mean deviation of 1.07, and Standard Deviation of 1.42 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AMERISAFE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AMERISAFE is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, AMERISAFE has a negative expected return of -0.0757%. Please make sure to confirm AMERISAFE's maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if AMERISAFE performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | -0.14 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
AMERISAFE has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AMERISAFE time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMERISAFE price movement. The serial correlation of -0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current AMERISAFE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.14 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.38 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.51 |
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Check out AMERISAFE Correlation, AMERISAFE Volatility and AMERISAFE Performance module to complement your research on AMERISAFE. For more detail on how to invest in AMERISAFE Stock please use our How to Invest in AMERISAFE guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
AMERISAFE technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.