First Watch Restaurant Stock Market Value
| FWRG Stock | USD 15.74 0.37 2.41% |
| Symbol | First |
Can Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry sustain growth momentum? Does First have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Watch. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating First Watch demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.634 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.256 | Return On Assets |
Understanding First Watch Restaurant requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what First Watch's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Watch's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Watch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Watch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Watch's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
First Watch 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Watch's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Watch.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Watch on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Watch Restaurant or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Watch over 90 days. First Watch is related to or competes with Rent The, Jiuzi Holdings, Worksport, Alta Global, NFT, LightInTheBox Holding, and High Roller. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name More
First Watch Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Watch's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Watch Restaurant upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.48 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.05) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.55 |
First Watch Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Watch's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Watch's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Watch historical prices to predict the future First Watch's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.07) |
First Watch February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,411) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Variance | 7.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.48 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.05) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.55 | |||
| Skewness | 0.6847 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8322 |
First Watch Restaurant Backtested Returns
At this point, First Watch is not too volatile. First Watch Restaurant secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0332, which denotes the company had a 0.0332 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for First Watch Restaurant, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First Watch's Standard Deviation of 2.76, variance of 7.63, and Mean Deviation of 2.19 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.093%. First Watch has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.78, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, First Watch will likely underperform. First Watch Restaurant right now shows a risk of 2.8%. Please confirm First Watch Restaurant total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if First Watch Restaurant will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.16 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
First Watch Restaurant has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Watch time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Watch Restaurant price movement. The serial correlation of -0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current First Watch price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.16 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.35 |
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Check out First Watch Correlation, First Watch Volatility and First Watch Performance module to complement your research on First Watch. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
First Watch technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.