First Watch Restaurant Stock Technical Analysis
| FWRG Stock | USD 12.46 0.07 0.56% |
As of the 27th of February, First Watch shows the Variance of 13.84, standard deviation of 3.72, and Mean Deviation of 2.47. First Watch Restaurant technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm First Watch Restaurant market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if First Watch Restaurant is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 12.46 per share. Given that First Watch has information ratio of (0.1), we urge you to verify First Watch Restaurant's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
First Watch Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Watch's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.First Watch Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 19.91 | Strong Buy | 11 | Odds |
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First Watch Restaurant, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
Can Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry sustain growth momentum? Does First have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Watch. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating First Watch demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 22.867 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.202 | Return On Assets |
Understanding First Watch Restaurant requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what First Watch's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Watch's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Watch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Watch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Watch's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
First Watch 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Watch's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Watch.
| 11/29/2025 |
| 02/27/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Watch on November 29, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Watch Restaurant or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Watch over 90 days. First Watch is related to or competes with SUPER HI, Cannae Holdings, Biglari Holdings, BJs Restaurants, Sweetgreen, Xpel, and LGI Homes. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name More
First Watch Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Watch's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Watch Restaurant upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.55 |
First Watch Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Watch's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Watch's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Watch historical prices to predict the future First Watch's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.66) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (11.17) |
First Watch February 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (11.16) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,411) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Variance | 13.84 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.66) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (11.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.55 | |||
| Skewness | (2.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 12.93 |
First Watch Restaurant Backtested Returns
First Watch Restaurant secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which denotes the company had a -0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. First Watch Restaurant exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm First Watch's Standard Deviation of 3.72, mean deviation of 2.47, and Variance of 13.84 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0245, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Watch's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Watch is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, First Watch Restaurant has a negative expected return of -0.55%. Please make sure to confirm First Watch's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if First Watch Restaurant performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.07 |
Virtually no predictability
First Watch Restaurant has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Watch time series from 29th of November 2025 to 13th of January 2026 and 13th of January 2026 to 27th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Watch Restaurant price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current First Watch price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.07 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.23 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.28 |
First Watch technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Watch Restaurant Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fourteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for First Watch Restaurant across different markets.
About First Watch Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Watch Restaurant on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Watch Restaurant based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Watch Restaurant price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Watch Restaurant. By analyzing First Watch's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Watch's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Watch specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 2.7 | 3.08 | 2.26 | 3.26 | PTB Ratio | 1.6 | 1.53 | 2.13 | 2.63 |
First Watch February 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (11.16) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,411) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Variance | 13.84 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.66) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (11.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.55 | |||
| Skewness | (2.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 12.93 |
First Watch February 27, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 123,480 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.11) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 12.73 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 12.64 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.30) |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Watch's price analysis, check to measure First Watch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Watch is operating at the current time. Most of First Watch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Watch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Watch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Watch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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