Heritage Commerce Corp Stock Market Value
| HTBK Stock | USD 13.30 0.07 0.53% |
| Symbol | Heritage |
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heritage Commerce. Market participants price Heritage higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Heritage Commerce assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Heritage Commerce Corp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Heritage's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Heritage Commerce's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Heritage Commerce's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heritage Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heritage Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heritage Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Heritage Commerce 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Heritage Commerce's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Heritage Commerce.
| 11/18/2025 |
| 02/16/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Heritage Commerce on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Heritage Commerce Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Heritage Commerce over 90 days. Heritage Commerce is related to or competes with Mid Penn, Camden National, MetroCity Bankshares, NB Bancorp, Orrstown Financial, Hingham Institution, and Great Southern. Heritage Commerce Corp operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank of Commerce that provides various commerci... More
Heritage Commerce Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Heritage Commerce's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Heritage Commerce Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2444 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.66 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.87 |
Heritage Commerce Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Heritage Commerce's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Heritage Commerce's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Heritage Commerce historical prices to predict the future Heritage Commerce's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2383 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4603 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3252 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3047 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.36) |
Heritage Commerce February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2383 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.35) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8224 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 345.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2444 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4603 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3252 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3047 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.36) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.66 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6764 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) | |||
| Skewness | 0.6337 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.94 |
Heritage Commerce Corp Backtested Returns
Heritage Commerce appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Heritage Commerce Corp holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.29, which attests that the entity had a 0.29 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Heritage Commerce Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Heritage Commerce's Downside Deviation of 1.25, market risk adjusted performance of (1.35), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2383 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Heritage Commerce holds a performance score of 22. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.32, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Heritage Commerce are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Heritage Commerce is likely to outperform the market. Please check Heritage Commerce's semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Heritage Commerce's current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.80 |
Very good predictability
Heritage Commerce Corp has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Heritage Commerce time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Heritage Commerce Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current Heritage Commerce price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.8 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.74 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.24 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Heritage Commerce Correlation, Heritage Commerce Volatility and Heritage Commerce Performance module to complement your research on Heritage Commerce. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Heritage Commerce technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.