Heritage Commerce Corp Stock Analysis

HTBK Stock  USD 10.91  0.20  1.87%   
Heritage Commerce Corp is fairly valued with Real Value of 10.79 and Target Price of 11.08. The main objective of Heritage Commerce stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Heritage Commerce Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Heritage Commerce's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Heritage Commerce stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Heritage Commerce Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Heritage Stock Analysis Notes

About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Heritage Commerce Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of November 2024. The firm had 11:10 split on the 3rd of February 2000. Heritage Commerce Corp operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank of Commerce that provides various commercial and personal banking services to residents and the businessprofessional community in California. Heritage Commerce Corp was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in San Jose, California. Heritage Commerce operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 332 people. To learn more about Heritage Commerce Corp call Walter Kaczmarek at 408 947 6900 or check out https://www.heritagecommercecorp.com/corporate-pro.

Heritage Commerce Quarterly Total Revenue

41.35 Million

Heritage Commerce Corp Investment Alerts

Heritage Commerce has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of November 2024 Heritage Commerce paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Sa Thomas A of 37664 shares of Heritage Commerce subject to Rule 16b-3

Heritage Commerce Corp Upcoming and Recent Events

25th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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25th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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23rd of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
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31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Heritage Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Heritage Commerce's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2013-10-24
2013-09-300.090.10.0111 
2013-07-25
2013-06-300.080.090.0112 
2013-04-25
2013-03-310.080.07-0.0112 
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Heritage Commerce Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Heritage Commerce's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Heritage Commerce's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Heritage Commerce's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Heritage Commerce's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Heritage Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
998.6 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
711.2 K
Alti Global Inc2024-06-30
648.3 K
Endeavour Capital Advisors Inc2024-09-30
621.7 K
Kennedy Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
585.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
584 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-06-30
551.2 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
544.5 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
507.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
8.3 M
Fj Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
3.6 M
Note, although Heritage Commerce's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Heritage Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 668.82 M.

Heritage Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.26 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.34 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.34.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.05 

Management Efficiency

At this time, Heritage Commerce's Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is expected to rise to 0.01 this year, although the value of Return On Capital Employed will most likely fall to 0.02. At this time, Heritage Commerce's Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is quite stable compared to the past year. Non Current Liabilities Total is expected to rise to about 4.7 B this year, although the value of Total Current Liabilities will most likely fall to about 4.5 M. Heritage Commerce's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Heritage Commerce manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 11.02  6.26 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 8.14  5.19 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 2.52  3.20 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.90  1.67 
Enterprise Value Multiple 2.52  3.20 
Price Fair Value 0.90  1.67 
Enterprise Value272.4 M286 M
Heritage Commerce's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Dividend Yield
0.0477
Operating Margin
0.344
Profit Margin
0.2556
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0477
Beta
0.913

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of November, Heritage Commerce retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0819, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1089, and Downside Deviation of 1.52. Heritage Commerce technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Heritage Commerce Corp Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Heritage Commerce middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Heritage Commerce Corp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Heritage Commerce Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Heritage Commerce insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Heritage Commerce's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Heritage Commerce insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Heritage Commerce Outstanding Bonds

Heritage Commerce issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Heritage Commerce Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Heritage bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Heritage Commerce Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Heritage Commerce Predictive Daily Indicators

Heritage Commerce intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Heritage Commerce stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Heritage Commerce Corporate Filings

F4
20th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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8K
13th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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10Q
8th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
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13A
31st of October 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
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8K
25th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F3
3rd of October 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
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8K
2nd of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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8K
16th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Heritage Commerce Forecast Models

Heritage Commerce's time-series forecasting models are one of many Heritage Commerce's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Heritage Commerce's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Heritage Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Heritage Commerce prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Heritage shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Heritage Commerce. By using and applying Heritage Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Heritage entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.47  0.50 
Operating Profit Margin 0.47  0.57 
Net Profit Margin 0.34  0.35 
Gross Profit Margin 1.14  1.09 

Current Heritage Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Heritage analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Heritage analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
11.08Strong Buy6Odds
Heritage Commerce Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Heritage analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Heritage stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Heritage Commerce Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Heritage conference calls.
Heritage Analyst Advice Details

Heritage Stock Analysis Indicators

Heritage Commerce Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Heritage Commerce stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Heritage Commerce shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Heritage Commerce stock analysis, traders can identify Heritage Commerce position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow306.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity672.9 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net41.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments408.1 M
Net Invested Capital712.4 M
Cash408.1 M
50 Day M A10.01
Net Interest Income183.2 M
Total Current Liabilities4.7 M
Forward Price Earnings14.3472
Investments70.2 M
Interest Expense51.1 K
Stock Based Compensation2.4 M
Long Term Debt39.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.3 M
Tax Provision26 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.342
Free Cash Flow71.3 M
Other Current Assets423.2 M
Net Debt-368.6 M
Other Operating Expenses4350.00
Non Current Assets Total621.9 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity5.2 B
Non Currrent Assets Other-621.9 M
When determining whether Heritage Commerce Corp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Heritage Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Heritage Commerce Corp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Heritage Commerce Corp Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Heritage Commerce Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heritage Commerce. If investors know Heritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Heritage Commerce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.34)
Dividend Share
0.52
Earnings Share
0.71
Revenue Per Share
2.763
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
The market value of Heritage Commerce Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heritage Commerce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heritage Commerce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Heritage Commerce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heritage Commerce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heritage Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heritage Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heritage Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.