Lennar Stock Market Value
| LEN Stock | USD 169.17 1.10 0.65% |
| Symbol | Lennar |
Lennar Price To Book Ratio
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lennar. If investors know Lennar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lennar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.101 | Dividend Share 1.875 | Earnings Share 15.06 | Revenue Per Share 132.561 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.079 |
The market value of Lennar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lennar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lennar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lennar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lennar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lennar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lennar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lennar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lennar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Lennar 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lennar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lennar.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Lennar on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lennar or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lennar over 30 days. Lennar is related to or competes with PulteGroup, KB Home, NVR, Toll Brothers, DR Horton, Beazer Homes, and Hovnanian Enterprises. Lennar Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a homebuilder primarily under the Lennar brand in the Un... More
Lennar Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lennar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lennar upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.84 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.17 |
Lennar Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lennar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lennar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lennar historical prices to predict the future Lennar's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.43) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lennar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lennar Backtested Returns
Lennar has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0562, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0562% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lennar exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lennar's Standard Deviation of 1.77, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 1.28 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.17, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Lennar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lennar is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Lennar has a negative expected return of -0.0979%. Please make sure to verify Lennar's skewness, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if Lennar performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.34 |
Below average predictability
Lennar has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lennar time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lennar price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Lennar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.52 |
Lennar lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Lennar stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lennar's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lennar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lennar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Lennar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lennar stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lennar stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lennar stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Lennar Lagged Returns
When evaluating Lennar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lennar stock have on its future price. Lennar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lennar autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lennar stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lennar.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Lennar
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Lennar position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lennar will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Lennar Stock
| 0.64 | DOGZ | Dogness International | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | VSTO | Vista Outdoor | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | AS | Amer Sports, | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | GIL | Gildan Activewear | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | RL | Ralph Lauren Corp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Lennar could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Lennar when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Lennar - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Lennar to buy it.
The correlation of Lennar is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Lennar moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Lennar moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Lennar can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Lennar Correlation, Lennar Volatility and Lennar Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lennar. To learn how to invest in Lennar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Lennar technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.