Shoe Carnival Stock Market Value
| SCVL Stock | USD 21.28 0.80 3.91% |
| Symbol | Shoe |
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Shoe Carnival assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 0.585 | Earnings Share 2.1 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Understanding Shoe Carnival requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Shoe's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Shoe Carnival's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Shoe Carnival's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Shoe Carnival's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Shoe Carnival 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shoe Carnival's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shoe Carnival.
| 11/22/2025 |
| 02/20/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Shoe Carnival on November 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shoe Carnival or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shoe Carnival over 90 days. Shoe Carnival is related to or competes with Oxford Industries, Stitch Fix, Legacy Housing, Continental, Ballys Corp, MarineMax, and Bloomin Brands. Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States More
Shoe Carnival Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shoe Carnival's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shoe Carnival upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.75 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0995 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.78 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.95 |
Shoe Carnival Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shoe Carnival's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shoe Carnival's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shoe Carnival historical prices to predict the future Shoe Carnival's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1049 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2388 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0903 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.102 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2203 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shoe Carnival's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Shoe Carnival February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1049 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2303 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.75 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 781.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Variance | 7.96 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0995 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2388 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0903 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.102 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2203 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.78 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.37) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0319 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.40) |
Shoe Carnival Backtested Returns
Shoe Carnival appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Shoe Carnival owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.22, which indicates the firm had a 0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Shoe Carnival's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.56% is justified by implied risk. Please review Shoe Carnival's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1049, coefficient of variation of 781.0, and Semi Deviation of 2.45 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Shoe Carnival holds a performance score of 17. The entity has a beta of 1.59, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Shoe Carnival will likely underperform. Please check Shoe Carnival's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Shoe Carnival's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.16 |
Very weak predictability
Shoe Carnival has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shoe Carnival time series from 22nd of November 2025 to 6th of January 2026 and 6th of January 2026 to 20th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shoe Carnival price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Shoe Carnival price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.16 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.55 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Shoe Carnival Correlation, Shoe Carnival Volatility and Shoe Carnival Performance module to complement your research on Shoe Carnival. For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Shoe Carnival technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.