Shoe Carnival Stock Performance

SCVL Stock  USD 19.78  0.36  1.85%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Shoe Carnival holds a performance score of 5. The entity has a beta of 1.66, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Shoe Carnival will likely underperform. Please check Shoe Carnival's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Shoe Carnival's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Shoe Carnival are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak basic indicators, Shoe Carnival may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.89
Five Day Return
3.85
Year To Date Return
10.97
Ten Year Return
66.84
All Time Return
464.53
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0326
Payout Ratio
0.2844
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.6
Dividend Date
2026-01-26
1
Earnings To Watch Shoe Carnival Reports Q3 Results Tomorrow
11/19/2025
2
Shoe Carnival FY2026 EPS Forecast Boosted by Seaport Res Ptn
11/26/2025
3
Will Shoe Carnival Inc. stock attract more institutional investors - July 2025 Recap Low Risk Growth Stock Ideas - Newser
12/03/2025
4
Shoe Carnival Appoints New Senior Vice President - TipRanks
12/09/2025
5
Will Shoe Carnival Inc. stock recover faster than market - 2025 Institutional Moves Weekly Watchlist of Top Performers - DonanmHaber
12/19/2025
6
Disposition of 3313 shares by Sifford Clifton E of Shoe Carnival at 16.88 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
7
Shoe Carnivals earnings trajectory could turn positive as the stock spikes 12 percent this past week
01/09/2026
8
1 Volatile Stock Worth Your Attention and 2 We Question - The Globe and Mail
01/13/2026
9
Trump Greenland Threats, Tariff Jitters Send Shoe Stocks Tumbling
01/20/2026
 
Shoe Carnival dividend paid on 26th of January 2026
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow99 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-77.7 M

Shoe Carnival Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,771  in Shoe Carnival on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  171.00  from holding Shoe Carnival or generate 9.66% return on investment over 90 days. Shoe Carnival is currently generating 0.1964% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.9491% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Shoe, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Shoe Carnival is expected to generate 3.89 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Shoe Carnival Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Shoe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.78 90 days 19.78 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shoe Carnival to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Shoe Carnival probability density function shows the probability of Shoe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.66 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Shoe Carnival will likely underperform. Additionally Shoe Carnival has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Shoe Carnival Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shoe Carnival

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shoe Carnival. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shoe Carnival's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.5219.4722.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1018.0521.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.8718.8221.77
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.2919.0021.09
Details

Shoe Carnival Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shoe Carnival is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shoe Carnival's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shoe Carnival, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shoe Carnival within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.66
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio 0

Shoe Carnival Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shoe Carnival for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shoe Carnival can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 26th of January 2026 Shoe Carnival paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Trump Greenland Threats, Tariff Jitters Send Shoe Stocks Tumbling

Shoe Carnival Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shoe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shoe Carnival's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shoe Carnival's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments123.1 M

Shoe Carnival Fundamentals Growth

Shoe Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Shoe Carnival, and Shoe Carnival fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Shoe Stock performance.

About Shoe Carnival Performance

By examining Shoe Carnival's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Shoe Carnival's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Shoe Carnival is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 133.39  118.90 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed(0.08)(0.08)
Return On Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Equity(0.12)(0.11)

Things to note about Shoe Carnival performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shoe Carnival for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Shoe Carnival help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 26th of January 2026 Shoe Carnival paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Trump Greenland Threats, Tariff Jitters Send Shoe Stocks Tumbling
Evaluating Shoe Carnival's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Shoe Carnival's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Shoe Carnival's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Shoe Carnival's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Shoe Carnival's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Shoe Carnival's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Shoe Carnival's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Shoe Carnival's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Shoe Carnival's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Shoe Carnival's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Shoe Carnival's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Shoe Carnival is a strong investment it is important to analyze Shoe Carnival's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Shoe Carnival's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Shoe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Shoe Carnival assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
Dividend Share
0.585
Earnings Share
2.17
Revenue Per Share
41.958
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Understanding Shoe Carnival requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Shoe's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Shoe Carnival's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Shoe Carnival's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Shoe Carnival's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.