Shoe Carnival Stock Performance
| SCVL Stock | USD 20.19 0.49 2.37% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Shoe Carnival holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of 0.91, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Shoe Carnival returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Shoe Carnival is expected to follow. Please check Shoe Carnival's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Shoe Carnival's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Shoe Carnival are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unfluctuating basic indicators, Shoe Carnival disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
| Shoe Carnival dividend paid on 26th of January 2026 | 01/26/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 99 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -77.7 M |
Shoe Carnival Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,688 in Shoe Carnival on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 331.00 from holding Shoe Carnival or generate 19.61% return on investment over 90 days. Shoe Carnival is currently generating 0.3292% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.6826% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Shoe, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Shoe Carnival Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Shoe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 20.19 | 90 days | 20.19 | about 14.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shoe Carnival to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.46 (This Shoe Carnival probability density function shows the probability of Shoe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Shoe Carnival Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shoe Carnival
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shoe Carnival. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shoe Carnival's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Shoe Carnival Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shoe Carnival is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shoe Carnival's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shoe Carnival, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shoe Carnival within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Shoe Carnival Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shoe Carnival for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shoe Carnival can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 26th of January 2026 Shoe Carnival paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Shoe Carnival Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shoe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shoe Carnival's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shoe Carnival's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 123.1 M |
Shoe Carnival Fundamentals Growth
Shoe Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Shoe Carnival, and Shoe Carnival fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Shoe Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0878 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0377 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 861.19 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 27.37 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 6.77 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.88 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.47 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.2 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 128.87 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 47.52 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.73 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 367.99 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.65 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 24.96 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 102.64 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.10 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.12 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 773.35 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 370.08 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 87.93 M | ||||
About Shoe Carnival Performance
By examining Shoe Carnival's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Shoe Carnival's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Shoe Carnival is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana. Shoe Carnival operates under Apparel Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2600 people.Things to note about Shoe Carnival performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shoe Carnival for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Shoe Carnival help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 26th of January 2026 Shoe Carnival paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
- Analyzing Shoe Carnival's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Shoe Carnival's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Shoe Carnival's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Shoe Carnival's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Shoe Carnival's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Shoe Carnival's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Shoe Carnival's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Shoe Carnival assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Shoe Carnival requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Shoe's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Shoe Carnival's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Shoe Carnival's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Shoe Carnival's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.