Shoe Carnival Stock Performance

SCVL Stock  USD 29.95  0.13  0.43%   
The entity has a beta of 0.37, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Shoe Carnival's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shoe Carnival is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Shoe Carnival has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to validate Shoe Carnival's total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Shoe Carnival performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Shoe Carnival has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.30)
Five Day Return
(0.23)
Year To Date Return
(7.18)
Ten Year Return
152.23
All Time Return
771.8
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0161
Payout Ratio
0.1949
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.54
Dividend Date
2025-01-27
 
Shoe Carnival dividend paid on 21st of October 2024
10/21/2024
1
Insider Trading
10/30/2024
2
Shoe Carnival, Inc. Shares Could Be 27 percent Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
11/07/2024
3
Shoe Carnival Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Weather Challenges and ...
11/22/2024
4
Acquisition by Sifford Clifton E of 4072 shares of Shoe Carnival subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2024
5
Shoe Carnival Inc Trading Down 3.69 percent on Dec 5
12/05/2024
6
Eye On Growth Delores B Weaver Adds 9.68M Of Shoe Carnival Stock To Portfolio
12/10/2024
7
Shoe Carnival Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend and Announces New 50 Million Share Repurchase Program
12/12/2024
8
Acquisition by Tomm Charles B. of 2172 shares of Shoe Carnival subject to Rule 16b-3
12/13/2024
9
Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio Has 3.06 Million Holdings in Shoe Carnival, Inc. - MarketBeat
12/17/2024
10
Disposition of 1706 shares by Sifford Clifton E of Shoe Carnival at 33.08 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2025
11
Q3 Footwear Retailer Earnings Boot Barn Impresses
01/13/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow51.4 M
  

Shoe Carnival Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,694  in Shoe Carnival on October 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (699.00) from holding Shoe Carnival or give up 18.92% of portfolio value over 90 days. Shoe Carnival is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.5306% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Shoe, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Shoe Carnival is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.98 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.03 per unit of volatility.

Shoe Carnival Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shoe Carnival's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Shoe Carnival, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Shoe Carnival's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1232

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Negative ReturnsSCVL

Estimated Market Risk

 2.53
  actual daily
22
78% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.31
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.12
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Shoe Carnival is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Shoe Carnival by adding Shoe Carnival to a well-diversified portfolio.

Shoe Carnival Fundamentals Growth

Shoe Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Shoe Carnival, and Shoe Carnival fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Shoe Stock performance.

About Shoe Carnival Performance

By examining Shoe Carnival's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Shoe Carnival's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Shoe Carnival is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 133.39  118.07 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed(0.08)(0.08)
Return On Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Equity(0.12)(0.11)

Things to note about Shoe Carnival performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shoe Carnival for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Shoe Carnival help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shoe Carnival generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Q3 Footwear Retailer Earnings Boot Barn Impresses
Evaluating Shoe Carnival's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Shoe Carnival's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Shoe Carnival's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Shoe Carnival's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Shoe Carnival's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Shoe Carnival's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Shoe Carnival's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Shoe Carnival's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Shoe Carnival's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Shoe Carnival's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Shoe Carnival's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Shoe Carnival is a strong investment it is important to analyze Shoe Carnival's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Shoe Carnival's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Shoe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shoe Carnival listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.155
Earnings Share
2.72
Revenue Per Share
45.392
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.129
Return On Assets
0.0587
The market value of Shoe Carnival is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shoe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shoe Carnival's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shoe Carnival's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shoe Carnival's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shoe Carnival's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shoe Carnival's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.