Defi Development Corp Stock Performance
| DFDV Stock | 4.00 0.53 11.70% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.97, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, DeFi Development will likely underperform. At this point, DeFi Development Corp has a negative expected return of -0.96%. Please make sure to confirm DeFi Development's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if DeFi Development Corp performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days DeFi Development Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain fairly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest fuss may also be a sign of long-term up-swing for the venture sophisticated investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (11.70) | Five Day Return (22.48) | Year To Date Return (25.09) | Ten Year Return (8.47) | All Time Return (8.47) |
Last Split Factor 7:1 | Last Split Date 2025-05-21 |
1 | Insider Trading | 11/07/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Parker White of 7041 shares of DeFi Development at 6.9 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/25/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Parker White of 17760 shares of DeFi Development at 5.76 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/10/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Parker White of 136687 shares of DeFi Development at 4.97 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/17/2025 |
5 | DeFi Development Corp. Provides Preliminary Q4 2025 Business Update | 01/05/2026 |
6 | DeFi Development Corp. Appoints Hadley Stern to Board of Directors | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 5.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -22.3 K |
DeFi Development Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 834.00 in DeFi Development Corp on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (434.00) from holding DeFi Development Corp or give up 52.04% of portfolio value over 90 days. DeFi Development Corp is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 7.2732% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 65% of stocks are less volatile than DeFi, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
DeFi Development Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of DeFi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.00 | 90 days | 4.00 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DeFi Development to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This DeFi Development Corp probability density function shows the probability of DeFi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
DeFi Development Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DeFi Development
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DeFi Development Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DeFi Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DeFi Development Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DeFi Development is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DeFi Development's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DeFi Development Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DeFi Development within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
DeFi Development Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DeFi Development for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DeFi Development Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DeFi Development generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DeFi Development has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DeFi Development has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| DeFi Development Corp was previously known as Janover Common Stock and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol JNVR. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.95 M. | |
| DeFi Development generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Insider Trading |
DeFi Development Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DeFi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DeFi Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DeFi Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 M |
DeFi Development Fundamentals Growth
DeFi Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of DeFi Development, and DeFi Development fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on DeFi Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.65 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.37 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (1.29) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (3.30) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 384.39 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 14.47 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 135.74 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 162.49 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.1 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.95 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (2.7 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (2.73 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 13.93 K | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.28 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.42 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.26) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 321.02 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 4.38 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (9.37 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 2.68 M | ||||
About DeFi Development Performance
Evaluating DeFi Development's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if DeFi Development has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if DeFi Development has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.92) | (0.97) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.91) | (0.96) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.72) | (0.75) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.70) | (0.74) |
Things to note about DeFi Development Corp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about DeFi Development for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for DeFi Development Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DeFi Development generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DeFi Development has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DeFi Development has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| DeFi Development Corp was previously known as Janover Common Stock and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol JNVR. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.95 M. | |
| DeFi Development generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Insider Trading |
- Analyzing DeFi Development's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether DeFi Development's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining DeFi Development's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating DeFi Development's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of DeFi Development's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of DeFi Development's stock. These opinions can provide insight into DeFi Development's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for DeFi Stock Analysis
When running DeFi Development's price analysis, check to measure DeFi Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DeFi Development is operating at the current time. Most of DeFi Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DeFi Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DeFi Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DeFi Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.