Essent Group Stock Performance

ESNT Stock  USD 60.31  0.12  0.20%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.57, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Essent's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Essent is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Essent Group has a negative expected return of -0.0274%. Please make sure to confirm Essent's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and period momentum indicator , to decide if Essent Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Essent Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Essent is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.2
Five Day Return
(1.47)
Year To Date Return
(6.74)
Ten Year Return
203.98
All Time Return
187.19
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0232
Payout Ratio
0.1858
Forward Dividend Rate
1.4
Dividend Date
2026-03-23
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-13
 
Essent dividend paid on 10th of December 2025
12/10/2025
1
Essent Group Earns Technical Rating Upgrade
12/16/2025
2
Acquisition by David Weinstock of 381 shares of Essent subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
3
Why Essent Group Stock Is Trading Up Today
01/14/2026
4
Acquisition by Mark Casale of 2971 shares of Essent subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2026
5
Enact Holdings Ups Capital Returns With New Buyback And Steady Dividend
02/04/2026
6
Acquisition by Mark Casale of 22898 shares of Essent subject to Rule 16b-3
02/11/2026
7
Essent Group Ltd Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Financial Performance and ...
02/13/2026
8
Essent Group Ltd. Announces Martin P. Connor Has Joined Board of Directors
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow131.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-154.7 M
Free Cash Flow848.7 M

Essent Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,185  in Essent Group on December 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (154.00) from holding Essent Group or give up 2.49% of portfolio value over 90 days. Essent Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.7088% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Essent, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Essent is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of volatility.

Essent Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Essent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 60.31 90 days 60.31 
about 90.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Essent to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.48 (This Essent Group probability density function shows the probability of Essent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Essent has a beta of 0.57 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Essent average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Essent Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Essent Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Essent Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Essent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Essent Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.6260.3262.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.2864.9466.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.8559.5561.24
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
62.1668.3175.83
Details

Essent Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Essent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Essent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Essent Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Essent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
2.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Essent Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Essent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Essent Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Essent Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Essent Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Essent Group Ltd. Announces Martin P. Connor Has Joined Board of Directors

Essent Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Essent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Essent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Essent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100 M
Cash And Short Term Investments123 M

Essent Fundamentals Growth

Essent Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Essent, and Essent fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Essent Stock performance.

About Essent Performance

Assessing Essent's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Essent's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Essent is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.09 

Things to note about Essent Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Essent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Essent Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Essent Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Essent Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Essent Group Ltd. Announces Martin P. Connor Has Joined Board of Directors
Evaluating Essent's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Essent's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Essent's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Essent's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Essent's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Essent's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Essent's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Essent's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Essent's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Essent's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Essent's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Essent Stock Analysis

When running Essent's price analysis, check to measure Essent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Essent is operating at the current time. Most of Essent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Essent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Essent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Essent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.