Groupon Stock Performance
| GRPN Stock | USD 15.86 0.01 0.06% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0100
6 · Contained
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Groupon rank lower than 6% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. The company operates within the Communication Services sector and the Internet Content & Information industry. Over recent months, Groupon has shown strength in converting risk exposure into positive shareholder returns. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 5.11 | Five Day Return 10.53 | Year To Date Return -9.99 | Ten Year Return -76.48 | All Time Return -96.96 |
1 | Seeking Clues to Groupon Q 4 Earnings A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics | 03/05/2026 |
2 | Groupon Q 4 Earnings Meet Estimates, Revenues Rise 2 percent Year Over Year | 03/11/2026 |
3 | The Goldman Sachs Group Lowers Groupon Price Target to 10.00 | 03/12/2026 |
4 | Acquisition by Jiri Ponrt of 2157 shares of Groupon subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/16/2026 |
5 | Groupon, Inc. Receives Average Recommendation of Hold from Analysts | 03/25/2026 |
6 | Insider Trading | 04/01/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 5828 shares by Kyle Netzly of Groupon subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 04/02/2026 |
8 | Groupon Inc Stock Up 20.0 percent but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score 66100 - Guru Focus | 04/16/2026 |
9 | Groupon Share Repurchases, Sum Up Stake, and Turnaround Progress Strengthen Upside Case - Tip Ranks | 04/20/2026 |
10 | Saudi Arabia E-commerce Apparel Market Forecast Report 2026-2034, Competitive Analysis of Alibaba, Amazon, ASOS, Best Buy, Ebay, Flipkart, Groupon, JD.com, Shop... | 04/28/2026 |
11 | Disposition of 345003 shares by Dusan Senkypl of Groupon subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 05/01/2026 |
12 | Groupon sees a more significant dip than broader market Some facts to know - MSN | 05/06/2026 |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 1,329 in Groupon on February 6, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 256.00 , a return of 19.26% over 90 days. Groupon is currently generating a 0.4179% daily expected return and carries 5.26% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Groupon exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 53% of comparable stocks, and GRPN has trailed 92% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The concept of mean reversion, where Groupon Stock price gravitates toward equilibrium, is fundamental to market analysis. This pattern is a cornerstone of many forecasting models, though periods of persistent mispricing occur.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.86 | 90 days | 15.86 | roughly 2.34 % |
Statistical modeling indicates that the probability of Groupon moving above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.34 %. The historical return profile over this window has produced more above-current than below-current outcomes. (This stock distribution maps the range in which Groupon Stock has been most likely to trade over the next 90 days).
Groupon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Groupon
Accurately predicting the stock market is one of the most challenging tasks for investors analyzing Groupon. No single approach dominates, but the practice of forecasting remains an essential element of the investment process.Mean reversion setups in Groupon emerge when price has deviated materially from its long-run average. Sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks are common catalysts for these temporary dislocations in Groupon.
Primary Risk Indicators
Volatility has been a defining feature of the stock market in recent decades, and Groupon has reflected that pattern. Sudden corrections and sharp rallies have tested many portfolios that include Groupon.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
For investors following Groupon, automated alerts provide early signals of meaningful shifts in stock dynamics. Groupon notifications highlight material changes that could affect portfolio decisions and aggregate risk exposure.| Groupon had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Groupon has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| GRPN has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating negative working capital and limited capacity to cover financial obligations when due. | |
| GRPN reported previous year's revenue of $498.42 million. Net Loss for the year was -$81.7 million with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of $452.54 million. | |
| About 14.0% of GRPN shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Groupon sees a more significant dip than broader market Some facts to know - MSN |
Price Density Drivers
For Groupon, price shifts are largely a function of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader market conditions. Key market indicators for Groupon Stock are presented below to contextualize recent price movements.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.3 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 296.08 million |
Groupon Fundamentals Growth
The pricing of Groupon Stock is heavily influenced by Groupon's fundamental performance over time. Investors monitor revenue growth, profit margins, cash flow generation, and debt management as key indicators.
| Current Valuation | 631.23 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 38.8 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -2.06 X | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Drawdown analysis for Groupon measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Drawdown frequency and clustering can signal regime sensitivity beyond what returns alone capture. Groupon shows ROE of -15.21%, ROA of 1.26% (TTM).
Reported values for Groupon are derived from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for analysis. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board