Groupon Stock Performance
| GRPN Stock | USD 12.40 0.08 0.64% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.66, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Groupon will likely underperform. At this point, Groupon has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to check out Groupon's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Groupon performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Groupon has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.64) | Five Day Return 1.64 | Year To Date Return (28.37) | Ten Year Return (83.64) | All Time Return (97.63) |
Last Split Factor 1:20 | Dividend Date 2020-06-11 | Last Split Date 2020-06-11 |
1 | Groupon Stock Price Down 5.8 percent - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat | 11/18/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 5828 shares by Kyle Netzly of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/20/2025 |
3 | How the Narrative Surrounding Groupon Is Shifting After Recent Valuation and Risk Assumption Updates | 12/11/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 109250 shares by Dusan Senkypl of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/23/2025 |
5 | Groupon announces agreement to resolve tax disputes with Italian authorities | 12/31/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 5750 shares by Dusan Senkypl of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
7 | Those who invested in Groupon three years ago are up 97 | 01/07/2026 |
8 | Why Groupon Dipped More Than Broader Market Today | 01/16/2026 |
9 | Investors Heavily Search Groupon, Inc. Here is What You Need to Know | 01/21/2026 |
10 | The Return Trends At Groupon Look Promising | 01/30/2026 |
11 | Disposition of 3055 shares by Bass Robert J of Groupon at 31.64 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/05/2026 |
12 | Acquisition by Dusan Senkypl of 1393948 shares of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/06/2026 |
13 | Groupon, Inc. is Attracting Investor Attention Here is What You Should Know - Yahoo Finance | 02/13/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 167.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -6.8 M |
Groupon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,560 in Groupon on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (320.00) from holding Groupon or give up 20.51% of portfolio value over 90 days. Groupon is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.9338% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Groupon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Groupon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Groupon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.40 | 90 days | 12.40 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Groupon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Groupon probability density function shows the probability of Groupon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Groupon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Groupon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Groupon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Groupon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Groupon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Groupon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Groupon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Groupon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Groupon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Groupon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Groupon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Groupon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Groupon has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Groupon currently holds 252.93 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.99, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Groupon has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Groupon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 492.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (56.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 450.75 M. | |
| Groupon has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 93.0% of Groupon shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Groupon, Inc. is Attracting Investor Attention Here is What You Should Know - Yahoo Finance |
Groupon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Groupon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Groupon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Groupon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 228.8 M |
Groupon Fundamentals Growth
Groupon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Groupon, and Groupon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Groupon Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0104 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.29) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 621.37 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 40.75 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 3.95 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 17.77 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.03 X | ||||
| Revenue | 492.56 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 450.75 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 9.04 M | ||||
| Net Income | (56.51 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 308 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 10.12 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 252.93 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 3.99 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.77 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (1.46) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 55.89 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (3.54) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 508.62 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 612.69 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.51 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 9.94 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.08 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 1.2 B | ||||
About Groupon Performance
By examining Groupon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Groupon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Groupon is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 0.73 | 0.69 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.12) | (0.13) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.09) | (0.09) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.30) | (1.37) |
Things to note about Groupon performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Groupon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Groupon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Groupon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Groupon has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Groupon currently holds 252.93 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.99, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Groupon has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Groupon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 492.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (56.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 450.75 M. | |
| Groupon has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 93.0% of Groupon shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Groupon, Inc. is Attracting Investor Attention Here is What You Should Know - Yahoo Finance |
- Analyzing Groupon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Groupon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Groupon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Groupon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Groupon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Groupon's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Groupon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Groupon. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. To learn how to invest in Groupon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Groupon guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Will Broadline Retail sector continue expanding? Could Groupon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. Market participants price Groupon higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Groupon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.092 | Earnings Share (3.54) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Groupon's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.