Groupon Stock Analysis
GRPN Stock | USD 9.53 0.21 2.25% |
Groupon is undervalued with Real Value of 11.16 and Target Price of 13.75. The main objective of Groupon stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Groupon is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Groupon's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Groupon stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Groupon is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Groupon Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Groupon |
Groupon Stock Analysis Notes
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of June 2020. Groupon had 1:20 split on the 11th of June 2020. Groupon, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. Groupon, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Groupon Cl operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3675 people. To learn more about Groupon call Kedar Deshpande at 773 945 6801 or check out https://www.groupon.com.Groupon Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Groupon Investment Alerts
Groupon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Groupon has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Groupon has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Groupon currently holds 278.75 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.99, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Groupon has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Groupon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 514.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 522.82 M. | |
Groupon currently holds about 308 M in cash with (77.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.12, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
Groupon has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 75.0% of Groupon shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Evaluating Groupon Stock Pre-Q3 Earnings Buy, Hold, or Avoid - MSN |
Groupon Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by Groupon to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
21st of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
8th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
21st of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Groupon Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Groupon's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
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2014-08-05 | 2014-06-30 | 0.17 | 0.2 | 0.03 | 17 | ||
2024-07-30 | 2024-06-30 | 0.02 | -0.02 | -0.04 | 200 | ||
2023-08-09 | 2023-06-30 | -0.18 | -0.1 | 0.08 | 44 |
Groupon Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Groupon's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Groupon's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Groupon's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Groupon's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
Groupon Thematic Classifications
In addition to having Groupon stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Social DomainCompanies that are actively involved or directly contribute to the development of various social networking technologies |
Groupon Stock Institutional Investors
Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 527.2 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 448.3 K | Caption Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 416.9 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 341.9 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-06-30 | 250.7 K | Scoggin Llc | 2024-06-30 | 250 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 225.2 K | Prentice Capital Management, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 199.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 199 K | Pale Fire Capital Se | 2024-06-30 | 10.2 M | Divisadero Street Capital Management, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 2.6 M |
Groupon Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 370.64 M.Groupon Profitablity
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.04 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.04) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.04.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | (0.15) | (0.15) | |
Return On Capital Employed | (0.09) | (0.09) | |
Return On Assets | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Return On Equity | 1.36 | 1.43 |
Management Efficiency
Groupon has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0197 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0197 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (4.2656) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Groupon's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Groupon manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 25th of November 2024, Return On Equity is likely to grow to 1.43, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.15). At this time, Groupon's Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | (1.29) | (1.23) | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | (7.37) | (7.01) | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 22.90 | 24.04 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | (9.87) | (9.38) | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 22.90 | 24.04 | |
Price Fair Value | (9.87) | (9.38) | |
Enterprise Value | 619.1 M | 588.1 M |
Effective leadership at Groupon drives its competitive edge in the market. Our analysis focuses on how this translates to financial performance and stock value.
Operating Margin (0.04) | Profit Margin 0.0387 | Beta 1.767 | Return On Assets 0.0197 | Return On Equity (4.27) |
Technical Drivers
As of the 25th of November, Groupon retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), standard deviation of 5.32, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.26). Groupon technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.Groupon Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Groupon middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Groupon. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Groupon Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Groupon insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Groupon's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Groupon insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Dusan Senkypl over three months ago Acquisition by Dusan Senkypl of 15115 shares of Groupon at 9.2025 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Bass Robert J over three months ago Disposition of 4583 shares by Bass Robert J of Groupon at 11.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Kedar Deshpande over three months ago Disposition of 61549 shares by Kedar Deshpande of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Majic Xavier over six months ago Disposition of 111141 shares by Majic Xavier of Groupon at 12.2281 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Kyle Netzly over six months ago Disposition of 23 shares by Kyle Netzly of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Jiri Ponrt over six months ago Disposition of 183333 shares by Jiri Ponrt of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Ann Ziegler over six months ago Acquisition by Ann Ziegler of 5595 shares of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Rich Williams over six months ago Exercise or conversion by Rich Williams of 140427 shares of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Groupon Outstanding Bonds
Groupon issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Groupon uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Groupon bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Groupon has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
Boeing Co 2196 Corp BondUS097023DG73 | View | |
HSBC Holdings PLC Corp BondUS404280DR76 | View | |
MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View | |
AerCap Global Aviation Corp BondUS00773HAA59 | View |
Groupon Predictive Daily Indicators
Groupon intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Groupon stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Groupon Corporate Filings
8K | 19th of November 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
13A | 14th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
8K | 12th of November 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F3 | 1st of November 2024 An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing | ViewVerify |
F4 | 9th of August 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 7th of August 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
13A | 2nd of August 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
10Q | 30th of July 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
Groupon Forecast Models
Groupon's time-series forecasting models are one of many Groupon's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Groupon's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Groupon Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Groupon prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Groupon shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Groupon. By using and applying Groupon Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Groupon entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | (0.08) | (0.09) | |
Operating Profit Margin | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
Net Loss | (0.11) | (0.11) | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.88 | 0.48 |
Current Groupon Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Groupon analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Groupon analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
13.75 | Buy | 3 | Odds |
Most Groupon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Groupon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Groupon, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Groupon conference calls.
Groupon Stock Analysis Indicators
Groupon stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Groupon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Groupon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Groupon stock analysis, traders can identify Groupon position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 281.7 M | |
Long Term Debt | 226.5 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.2 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | -40.6 M | |
Tax Provision | 51.3 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 1.092 | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 32.7 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 141.6 M | |
Cash | 141.6 M | |
Accounts Payable | 15 M | |
Net Debt | 137.2 M | |
50 Day M A | 10.2492 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 369.2 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 533.2 M | |
Non Current Assets Total | 315.4 M | |
Forward Price Earnings | 15.674 | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 6.1 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 14.5 M |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Groupon. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. To learn how to invest in Groupon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Groupon guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. If investors know Groupon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Groupon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.092 | Earnings Share 0.69 | Revenue Per Share 13.442 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) | Return On Assets 0.0197 |
The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.