Merchants Bancorp Earnings Estimate

MBIN Stock  USD 41.93  0.62  1.46%   
The next projected EPS of Merchants Bancorp is estimated to be 1.3 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.13 to a high of 1.39. Merchants Bancorp's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 6.3. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Merchants Bancorp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
Merchants Bancorp is projected to generate 1.3 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2025. Merchants Bancorp earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Merchants Bancorp EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Merchants Bancorp's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Merchants Bancorp, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Merchants Bancorp's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Merchants Bancorp's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. As of the 1st of February 2025, Gross Profit is likely to grow to about 1.4 B, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.31.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Merchants Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
To learn how to invest in Merchants Stock, please use our How to Invest in Merchants Bancorp guide.

Merchants Bancorp Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Merchants Bancorp's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Merchants Bancorp is estimated to be 1.3 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.13 to a high of 1.39. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Merchants Bancorp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.85
1.13
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.3
1.39
Highest

Merchants Bancorp Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Merchants Bancorp's value are higher than the current market price of the Merchants Bancorp stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Merchants Bancorp is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Merchants Bancorp's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2025Current EPS (TTM)
285.91%
1.85
1.3
6.3

Merchants Bancorp Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Merchants Bancorp analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Merchants Bancorp's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Merchants Bancorp's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Merchants Bancorp Quarterly Gross Profit

321.35 Million

At this time, Merchants Bancorp's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of February 2025, Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to grow to about 1 B, while Earning Assets are likely to drop about 2.2 B. As of the 1st of February 2025, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 233.9 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 44.2 M.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.3442.0144.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.7444.6747.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.7543.4346.10
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.3549.8355.31
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Merchants assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Merchants Bancorp. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Merchants Bancorp's stock price in the short term.

Merchants Bancorp Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Merchants Bancorp refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Merchants Bancorp predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Merchants Bancorp, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Merchants Bancorp Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Merchants Bancorp, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Merchants Bancorp should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Merchants Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Merchants Bancorp's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-01-29
2024-12-311.31.850.5542 
2024-10-28
2024-09-301.421.17-0.2517 
2024-07-29
2024-06-301.571.49-0.08
2024-04-29
2024-03-311.371.80.4331 
2024-01-29
2023-12-311.441.580.14
2023-10-26
2023-09-301.321.680.3627 
2023-07-27
2023-06-301.231.310.08
2023-04-27
2023-03-311.131.07-0.06
2023-01-30
2022-12-311.071.120.05
2022-10-27
2022-09-301.221.220.0
2022-07-28
2022-06-300.91.110.2123 
2022-04-28
2022-03-3111.020.02
2022-01-31
2021-12-311.021.140.1211 
2021-10-28
2021-09-300.981.220.2424 
2021-07-28
2021-06-301.071.05-0.02
2021-04-28
2021-03-310.981.350.3737 
2021-01-28
2020-12-310.991.30.3131 
2020-10-28
2020-09-300.711.190.4867 
2020-07-28
2020-06-300.320.870.55171 
2020-04-23
2020-03-310.360.490.1336 
2020-01-30
2019-12-310.380.610.2360 
2019-10-30
2019-09-300.360.40.0411 
2019-07-30
2019-06-300.340.340.0
2019-04-30
2019-03-310.350.23-0.1234 
2019-01-30
2018-12-310.370.34-0.03
2018-10-30
2018-09-300.370.370.0
2018-07-30
2018-06-300.390.35-0.0410 
2018-04-30
2018-03-310.290.330.0413 
2018-02-08
2017-12-310.270.310.0414 
2017-12-07
2017-09-300.310.3-0.01
2017-07-27
2017-06-3000.310.31

About Merchants Bancorp Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Merchants Bancorp earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Merchants Bancorp estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Merchants Bancorp fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings1.2 B1.3 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity957.8 MB
Earning Assets3.6 B2.2 B
Earnings Yield 0.20  0.12 
Price Earnings Ratio 5.11  8.21 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 0.20  0.21 

Pair Trading with Merchants Bancorp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Merchants Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merchants Bancorp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Merchants Stock

  0.39FOA Finance of AmericaPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Merchants Bancorp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Merchants Bancorp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Merchants Bancorp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Merchants Bancorp to buy it.
The correlation of Merchants Bancorp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Merchants Bancorp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Merchants Bancorp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Merchants Bancorp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Merchants Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Merchants Bancorp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Merchants Bancorp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Merchants Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Merchants Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
To learn how to invest in Merchants Stock, please use our How to Invest in Merchants Bancorp guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merchants Bancorp. If investors know Merchants will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Merchants Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.30)
Earnings Share
6.3
Revenue Per Share
13.735
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Return On Assets
0.0172
The market value of Merchants Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Merchants that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Merchants Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Merchants Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Merchants Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Merchants Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Merchants Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Merchants Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Merchants Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.