United Parcel Service Stock Analysis
| UPS Stock | USD 100.48 0.38 0.38% |
At the current market price of $100.48, UPS trades below the analyst target price of $113.0. For UPS, the central analytical question is whether the current price accurately reflects intrinsic value. Fundamental metrics and price behavior for UPS are examined below to identify alignment or divergence between the two signals.
UPS holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.41 relative to industrials peers. Based on figures reported as of December 31, 2025, Net Debt is broadly unchanged at $26.4 billion. Also, Net Debt To EBITDA remains stable near 2.16x. Rising leverage combined with declining revenue creates a compounding risk dynamic for United Parcel. Dividend capacity can be constrained when debt covenants prioritize creditor claims over shareholder distributions. Asset vs Debt
Equity vs Debt
Price Book 5.19 | Price Sales 0.96 | Shares Float 745.18 million | Dividend Share 6.56 | Wall Street Target Price 113 |
For United Parcel Service, recent data highlights $88.6 billion in Total Revenue, $5.6 billion in Net Income, and $2.9 billion in Non Operating Income Net Other.
United Parcel |
Stock Analysis Notes
About 70.0% of UPS outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. UPS has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.46. United Parcel reported earnings per share (EPS) of 6.18. UPS had its last dividend issued on the 17th of February 2026. For United Parcel Service, recent data highlights $0.08 in Intangibles To Total Assets, $73.1 billion in Total Assets, and a Return On Assets of 7.6%.Price To Sales Ratio | 0.90 |
Investor Insights and Alerts
| United Parcel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| United Parcel's Piotroski F-Score indicates relatively stable underlying signals within the model framework, despite current profitability pressure | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Time To Reassess United Parcel Service After Recent Share Price Weakness |
Largest EPS Surprises
When United Parcel reports EPS above analyst consensus, investors often revise their forward assumptions upward. A persistent pattern of beats can gradually rerate the stock's valuation multiple. For this stock, read EPS surprises with profitability quality and forward revisions.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2002-01-29 | 2001-12-31 | 0.5 | 0.57 | 0.07 | 14 | ||
2010-07-22 | 2010-06-30 | 0.76 | 0.84 | 0.08 | 10 | ||
2010-04-27 | 2010-03-31 | 0.57 | 0.71 | 0.14 | 24 |
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Reviewing United Parcel's ESG trend shows whether governance quality and stakeholder risk are improving or declining. For United Parcel Service, ESG considerations carry the most weight in governance discipline and workforce stability — areas where operational risk intersects with stakeholder outcomes.
Thematic Classifications
Themes linked to United Parcel Service are useful because they connect a single stock to a larger investable concept that can be researched and optimized as a group. This creates a better bridge between security selection, portfolio construction, and risk-adjusted return targeting.
 | Giant ImpactPublic companies with mega capitalization | |
 | Dividend BeastSolid, dividend-paying stocks and ETFs | |
 | Baby Boomer ProspectsMega stocks, funds and ETFs that tend to appeal to people considering retirement from the work force |
Top Institutional Investors Holding United Parcel Stock
At large-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. At United Parcel Service's scale, both institutional and retail traders shape the daily action. The business currently sits in the Industrials sector and the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. Watching turnover and volume trends alongside ownership data adds depth to the picture.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 6.4 M | The Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-12-31 | 6.3 M | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2025-12-31 | 5.2 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2025-12-31 | 5 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-12-31 | 4.8 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2025-12-31 | 4.5 M | Nordea Investment Mgmt Bank Demark A/s | 2025-12-31 | 4.3 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2025-12-31 | 4.1 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2025-12-31 | 4.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-12-31 | 68.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-12-31 | 50.5 M |
Market Capitalization
United Parcel Service market cap comes in at $84.87 billion, aligning the company with the large-cap end of air freight & logistics companies. To frame that market cap reading, note enterprise value near $104.69 billion, about 745.63 million shares outstanding, and a workforce of about 460,000 people.Profitability
A profitability review of United Parcel Service connects sales quality and cost control with the ability to produce steady returns across market cycles. The best read combines margin history with balance-sheet strength and pricing power under softer demand. UPS has Net Profit Margin of 6.0%. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 6.0%.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.09 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.15 | 0.22 | |
| Return On Assets | 8.00% | 8.00% | |
| Return On Equity | 34.00% | 33.00% |
Management Efficiency
UPS has Return on Asset of 7.27% consistent with positive asset efficiency. This aligns with typical sector levels. United Parcel also reports a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 33.35%, a positive signal for capital allocation.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 19.15 | 20.1 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 7.53 | 6.05 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 5.19x | 4.93x | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 9.05x | 10.36x | |
| Price Fair Value | 5.19x | 4.93x | |
| Enterprise Value | $77.56 billion | $65.72 billion |
Management quality at United Parcel Service matters because strategic decisions eventually show up in margins, cash conversion, capital allocation, and the market's willingness to assign a premium multiple. In practice, management analysis provides context for determining whether recent results reflect skill, favorable timing, or a mix of both.
Operating Margin | Long Term Debt Total | Three Month Return -14.69 | Short Long Term Debt Total | Ten Year Return -2.52 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 8th of May, United Parcel registers 100.48 per share in market pricing. Volatility and momentum metrics display Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.05, coefficient of variation of -1,726, and Variance of 4.57. Quantitative signals are calculated from volatility clustering and momentum shifts. Relative strength metrics are assessed within peer group data.Price Movement Analysis - Bollinger Bands
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function.Bollinger Bands frame United Parcel price range using a moving average and volatility bands. Movement toward the lower band may indicate short-term downside pressure, while approaches to the upper band can reflect resistance levels or momentum continuation.
Insider Trading Activities
Reviewing insider trades in United Parcel Service shows whether management is acting in line with the public story on growth and strategy. It trades on NYSE in US. The business currently sits in the Industrials sector and the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry.
Kevin Warsh over a year ago Acquisition by Kevin Warsh of 214 shares of United Parcel subject to Rule 16 b-3 | ||
Winestock James F Jr over a year ago Acquisition by Winestock James F Jr of 5198 shares of United Parcel subject to Rule 16 b-3 | ||
George Willis over a year ago United Parcel exotic insider transaction detected |
Outstanding Bonds
United Parcel Service may use bonds as part of its capital structure to fund operations, refinance liabilities, or support acquisitions and other long-duration investments. Used together with earnings and cash-flow analysis, the bond stack can reveal whether leverage is a manageable tool or a developing constraint.
| US911308AB04 Corp BondUS911308AB04 | View | |
| UNITED PARCEL SVC Corp BondUS911312AN61 | View | |
| UNITED PARCEL SVC Corp BondUS911312AJ59 | View | |
| US911312BS40 Corp BondUS911312BS40 | View | |
| UNITED PARCEL SERVICE Corp BondUS911312BR66 | View | |
| UNITED PARCEL SERVICE Corp BondUS911312BQ83 | View | |
| UNITED PARCEL SVC Corp BondUS911312BN52 | View | |
| UNITED PARCEL SVC Corp BondUS911312BM79 | View |
Predictive Daily Indicators
For active positions in United Parcel Service, intraday data shows when a move is gaining strength and when it is fading. The key question is whether the signal helps manage exposure in real time, not whether it predicts every tick.
Corporate Filings
| 7th of May 2026 Other Reports | ||
10Q | 6th of May 2026 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | |
13A | 30th of April 2026 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 | |
8K | 28th of April 2026 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | |
13A | 27th of March 2026 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | |
| 25th of March 2026 Other Reports | ||
| 19th of March 2026 Other Reports | ||
10K | 17th of February 2026 Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance |
Forecast Models
Forecast models for United Parcel Service use past prices and returns to estimate how the stock may behave under similar conditions. These models describe patterns, not guarantees. The real test is whether market conditions have changed enough to break the old pattern.Financial Strength and Earnings Quality Indicators
United Parcel Service financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much United Parcel has to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for United Parcel's borrowing costs.| Piotroski F Score | 7 | Strong | View |
| Beneish M Score | -2.53 | Unlikely Manipulator | View |
Debt to Cash Allocation
Tracking debt and cash allocation over time can show when United Parcel is prioritizing expansion, refinancing, or capital return.
Total debt stands at approximately $32.29 billion with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.41. United Parcel has a current ratio of 1.36, which is typical for the industry and considered as normal. Debt serves as one financing mechanism for United Parcel, though the impact on returns depends on execution and market conditions. Total Assets Over Time
Assets Financed by Debt
Debt finances 24.0% of UPS's total assets — a relatively low share of the asset base, though leverage can still appear elevated relative to peers when measured against equity rather than total assets.United Parcel Debt Ratio | 24.0 |
Corporate Bonds Issued
United Parcel Short Long Term Debt Total
Short Long Term Debt Total | $33.9 billion |
Stock Analysis Methodology
How does United Parcel compare on solvency and earnings quality? The indicators below frame the answer. United Parcel trades at P/E of 14.87, P/B of 5.19. United Parcel shows ROE (TTM) of 33.35% and net margin (TTM) of 5.94%.
United Parcel Service data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Where analyst coverage exists, consensus estimates are factored in.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Michael Smolkin, Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Current United Parcel Analyst Rating Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 113.0 | Buy | 32 | Odds |
Analyst recommendations for United Parcel Service are summarized across multiple research providers. It also summarizes the average analyst consensus. Professional analyst coverage of United Parcel Service provides individual investors with access to institutional-quality research. The spread between the highest and lowest United Parcel price targets reflects the degree of analytical disagreement.
United Parcel Stock Analysis Indicators
Diagnostics snapshot includes 19 indicators such as Begin Period Cash Flow, Long Term Debt, Common Stock Shares Outstanding.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 6.11 billion | |
| Long Term Debt | 23.52 billion | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 850 million | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | 16.23 billion | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -4.74 billion | |
| Tax Provision | 1.59 billion | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.272 | |
| Property Plant And Equipment Net | 41.99 billion | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.89 billion | |
| Cash | 5.89 billion | |
| Accounts Payable | 6.63 billion | |
| Net Debt | 26.4 billion | |
| 50 Day M A | 102.6026 | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 15.62 billion | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 80.16 billion | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 54.05 billion | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 13.459 | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 2.05 billion | |
| Stock Based Compensation | 73 million |