Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 52.37 54.71 63.82 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 56.17 58.51 60.85 Details

11 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 45.96 50.50 56.06 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.54 0.56 0.57 Details

Allegheny Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Allegheny Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Allegheny Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.20	2.34	0.01	0.07	9 Events / Month	9 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
58.16	58.03	0.02	7,800   Notes

Allegheny Technologies Hype Timeline

On the 21st of November Allegheny Technologies is traded for 58.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Allegheny is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 58.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Allegheny Technologies is about 660.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.23. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.54 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 410.8 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 714.2 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Allegheny Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Allegheny Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Allegheny Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Allegheny price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allegheny using various technical indicators. When you analyze Allegheny charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Allegheny Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Allegheny Technologies Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Allegheny Technologies based on analysis of Allegheny Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Allegheny Technologies depends on current market conditions and Allegheny Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Allegheny Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Allegheny Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Allegheny Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Allegheny Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Allegheny Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allegheny Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Allegheny Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Allegheny Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allegheny Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Allegheny Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allegheny Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allegheny Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allegheny Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.