First Bank Stock Technical Analysis
| FRBA Stock | USD 17.08 0.07 0.41% |
As of the 6th of February, First Bank shows the Downside Deviation of 1.45, mean deviation of 1.2, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1068.69. First Bank technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
First Bank Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Bank's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.First Bank Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 19.75 | Strong Buy | 3 | Odds |
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First Bank, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Bank. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive First Bank assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.194 | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 1.66 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
First Bank's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on First's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate First Bank's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since First Bank's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
First Bank 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Bank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Bank.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Bank on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Bank over 90 days. First Bank is related to or competes with Sierra Bancorp, Bank7 Corp, Kearny Financial, Carter Bank, Greene County, Community West, and Northfield Bancorp. First Bank provides various banking products and services to individuals, businesses, and governmental entities More
First Bank Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Bank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0663 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.53 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.29 |
First Bank Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Bank historical prices to predict the future First Bank's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0758 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1148 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0676 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0756 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1699 |
First Bank February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0758 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1799 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1068.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Variance | 2.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0663 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1148 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0676 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0756 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1699 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.53 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.39) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4106 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.06 |
First Bank Backtested Returns
At this point, First Bank is very steady. First Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0883, which denotes the company had a 0.0883 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for First Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First Bank's Coefficient Of Variation of 1068.69, mean deviation of 1.2, and Downside Deviation of 1.45 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. First Bank has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.85, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. First Bank returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Bank is expected to follow. First Bank right now shows a risk of 1.72%. Please confirm First Bank sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if First Bank will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.19 |
Very weak predictability
First Bank has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Bank time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current First Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.08 |
First Bank technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Bank Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Bank volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Bank Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Bank on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Bank based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Bank price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Bank. By analyzing First Bank's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Bank's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Bank specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0165 | 0.0171 | 0.0146 | 0.0102 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.86 | 1.54 | 1.66 | 2.66 |
First Bank February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0758 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1799 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1068.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Variance | 2.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0663 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1148 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0676 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0756 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1699 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.53 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.39) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4106 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.06 |
First Bank February 6, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1,550 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.22 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 16.96 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 17.00 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.15 |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Bank's price analysis, check to measure First Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Bank is operating at the current time. Most of First Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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