Martin Marietta Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| MLM Stock | USD 642.00 7.56 1.19% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Martin Marietta Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 642.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 373.43. Martin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Martin Marietta's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Martin Marietta's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Martin Marietta fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Martin Marietta's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Martin Marietta, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.157 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.9933 | EPS Estimate Current Year 18.7097 | EPS Estimate Next Year 22.1997 | Wall Street Target Price 673.2917 |
Using Martin Marietta hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Martin Marietta Materials from the perspective of Martin Marietta response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Martin Marietta using Martin Marietta's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Martin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Martin Marietta's stock price.
Martin Marietta Short Interest
An investor who is long Martin Marietta may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Martin Marietta and may potentially protect profits, hedge Martin Marietta with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 578.5091 | Short Percent 0.033 | Short Ratio 4.37 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 618.8408 |
Martin Marietta Materials Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Martin Marietta's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Martin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Martin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Martin Marietta Materials. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Martin Marietta's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Martin Marietta.
Martin Marietta Implied Volatility | 0.22 |
Martin Marietta's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Martin Marietta Materials stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Martin Marietta's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Martin Marietta stock will not fluctuate a lot when Martin Marietta's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Martin Marietta Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 642.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 373.43. Martin Marietta after-hype prediction price | USD 642.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Martin Marietta to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Martin Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Martin Marietta's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Martin Marietta's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Martin Marietta stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Martin Marietta's open interest, investors have to compare it to Martin Marietta's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Martin Marietta is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Martin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Martin Marietta Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Martin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Martin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Martin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Martin Marietta Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Martin Marietta Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 642.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.22, mean absolute percentage error of 55.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 373.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Martin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Martin Marietta's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Martin Marietta Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Martin Marietta | Martin Marietta Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Martin Marietta Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Martin Marietta's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Martin Marietta's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 641.28 and 643.62, respectively. We have considered Martin Marietta's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Martin Marietta stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Martin Marietta stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.2424 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.2238 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.01 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 373.4268 |
Predictive Modules for Martin Marietta
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Martin Marietta Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Martin Marietta
For every potential investor in Martin, whether a beginner or expert, Martin Marietta's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Martin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Martin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Martin Marietta's price trends.Martin Marietta Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Martin Marietta stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Martin Marietta could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Martin Marietta by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Martin Marietta Materials Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Martin Marietta's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Martin Marietta's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Martin Marietta Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Martin Marietta stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Martin Marietta shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Martin Marietta stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Martin Marietta Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9945.09 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5427 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 635.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 637.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 10.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 7.56 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.11 |
Martin Marietta Risk Indicators
The analysis of Martin Marietta's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Martin Marietta's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting martin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9273 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Martin Marietta to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Construction Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Martin Marietta. If investors know Martin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Martin Marietta listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.157 | Dividend Share 3.2 | Earnings Share 19.71 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 |
The market value of Martin Marietta Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Martin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Martin Marietta's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Martin Marietta's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Martin Marietta's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Martin Marietta's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Martin Marietta's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Martin Marietta is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Martin Marietta's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.