Navient Corp Stock Forward View
| NAVI Stock | USD 9.88 0.07 0.71% |
Navient Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Navient Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of Navient Corp's share price is approaching 30. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Navient Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2258 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.6921 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0403 | Wall Street Target Price 11.5 |
Using Navient Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Navient Corp from the perspective of Navient Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Navient Corp using Navient Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Navient using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Navient Corp's stock price.
Navient Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Navient Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Navient. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Navient Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 12.9481 | Short Percent 0.3347 | Short Ratio 9.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.8 M | 50 Day MA 12.414 |
Navient Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Navient Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.19.Navient Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Navient Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Navient. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Navient can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Navient Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Navient Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Navient Corp.
Navient Corp Implied Volatility | 1.02 |
Navient Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Navient Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Navient Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Navient Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Navient Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Navient Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.19. Navient Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 9.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Navient Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Navient contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Navient Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0638% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Navient Corp trading at USD 9.88, that is roughly USD 0.006299 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Navient Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Navient Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.02%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Navient Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Navient Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Navient Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Navient Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Navient Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Navient Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Navient Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Navient. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Navient Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Navient price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Navient using various technical indicators. When you analyze Navient charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Navient Corp Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Navient Corp's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-12-31 | Previous Quarter 571 M | Current Value 2.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 1.8 B |
Navient Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Navient Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Navient Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Navient Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Navient Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Navient Corp | Navient Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Navient Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Navient Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Navient Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.96 and 12.03, respectively. We have considered Navient Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Navient Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Navient Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.776 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2326 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0198 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.1901 |
Predictive Modules for Navient Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Navient Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Navient Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Navient Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Navient Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Navient Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Navient Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Navient Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Navient Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Navient Corp's historical news coverage. Navient Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.76 and 12.82, respectively. We have considered Navient Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Navient Corp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Navient Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Navient Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Navient Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Navient Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Navient Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 3.03 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.88 | 9.79 | 0.91 |
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Navient Corp Hype Timeline
Navient Corp is now traded for 9.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Navient is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.91%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Navient Corp is about 952.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.97. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.4. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Navient Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.14. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.81. The firm last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Navient Corp to cross-verify your projections.Navient Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Navient Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Navient Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Navient Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Navient Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LU | Lufax Holding | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.49 | (4.31) | 16.24 | |
| OCSL | Oaktree Specialty Lending | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.50 | (1.95) | 4.91 | |
| JCAP | Jefferson Capital Common | (0.36) | 8 per month | 2.35 | 0.07 | 4.12 | (2.98) | 17.08 | |
| EZPW | EZCORP Inc | 0.11 | 8 per month | 1.50 | 0.11 | 3.30 | (2.56) | 9.31 | |
| BETR | Better Home Finance | (0.71) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 10.83 | (10.06) | 29.21 | |
| PSEC | Prospect Capital | 0.13 | 9 per month | 1.69 | 0.04 | 4.67 | (3.18) | 11.08 | |
| DFIN | Donnelley Financial Solutions | (0.27) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.99 | (3.64) | 14.00 | |
| GHLD | Guild Holdings Co | 0.45 | 12 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.97 | (0.35) | 221.47 | |
| BFC | Bank First National | 4.19 | 7 per month | 1.36 | 0.04 | 3.17 | (2.26) | 7.45 | |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | (0.30) | 7 per month | 1.00 | 0.09 | 3.61 | (1.83) | 9.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for Navient Corp
For every potential investor in Navient, whether a beginner or expert, Navient Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Navient Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Navient. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Navient Corp's price trends.Navient Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Navient Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Navient Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Navient Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Navient Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Navient Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Navient Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Navient Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Navient Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Navient Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Navient Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Navient Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting navient stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Navient Corp
The number of cover stories for Navient Corp depends on current market conditions and Navient Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Navient Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Navient Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Navient Corp Short Properties
Navient Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Navient Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Navient Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Navient Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navient Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Navient Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Navient Stock please use our How to Invest in Navient Corp guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is there potential for Consumer Finance market expansion? Will Navient introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Navient Corp. Anticipated expansion of Navient directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Navient Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Dividend Share 0.64 | Earnings Share (0.81) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.55) |
Understanding Navient Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Navient's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Navient Corp's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Navient Corp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Navient Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Navient Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Navient Corp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.