Freshpet Stock Analysis

FRPT Stock  USD 158.03  0.64  0.40%   
Freshpet is undervalued with Real Value of 168.81 and Target Price of 165.59. The main objective of Freshpet stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Freshpet is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Freshpet's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Freshpet stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Freshpet is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day. Freshpet Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Freshpet. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
For more information on how to buy Freshpet Stock please use our How to Invest in Freshpet guide.

Freshpet Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Freshpet, Inc. manufactures and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. Freshpet, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Secaucus, New Jersey. Freshpet Inc operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 789 people. To learn more about Freshpet call William Cyr at 201 520 4000 or check out https://www.freshpet.com.

Freshpet Quarterly Total Revenue

253.37 Million

Freshpet Investment Alerts

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 766.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 358.93 M.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Colgate Advances 13 percent in a Year To Buy or Not to Buy the Stock

Freshpet Upcoming and Recent Events

26th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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26th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Freshpet Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Freshpet's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-11-02
2020-09-300.10.09-0.0110 
2020-05-04
2020-03-31-0.06-0.07-0.0116 
2019-05-06
2019-03-31-0.09-0.1-0.0111 
View All Earnings Estimates

Freshpet Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Freshpet's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Freshpet's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Freshpet's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Freshpet's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Freshpet Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Freshpet stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Food Products Idea
Food Products
USA Equities from Food Products industry as classified by Fama & French

Freshpet Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
1.3 M
Jennison Associates Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Riverbridge Partners Llc2024-09-30
939.5 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
896.3 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
835.7 K
State Street Corp2024-09-30
808 K
Driehaus Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
771.5 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
753.7 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
683.6 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
4.6 M
Wcm Investment Management2024-09-30
2.8 M
Note, although Freshpet's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Freshpet Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 7.7 B.

Freshpet Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.05 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.05 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.05.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Equity(0.04)(0.04)

Management Efficiency

Freshpet has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0143 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0143 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.045 %, meaning that it created $0.045 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Freshpet's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Freshpet manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.02 in 2025. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.02 in 2025. At this time, Freshpet's Total Current Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to gain to about 1.8 B in 2025, despite the fact that Change To Liabilities is likely to grow to (2.6 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 17.82  18.71 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 17.82  18.71 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 94.31  99.03 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.94  4.14 
Enterprise Value Multiple 94.31  99.03 
Price Fair Value 3.94  4.14 
Enterprise ValueB5.3 B
Effective leadership at Freshpet drives its competitive edge in the market. Our analysis focuses on how this translates to financial performance and stock value.
Operating Margin
0.0475
Profit Margin
0.0475
Beta
1.39
Return On Assets
0.0143
Return On Equity
0.045

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of January, Freshpet shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 1119.63, mean deviation of 1.29, and Downside Deviation of 1.49. Freshpet technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.

Freshpet Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Freshpet middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Freshpet. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Freshpet Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Freshpet insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Freshpet's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Freshpet insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Freshpet Outstanding Bonds

Freshpet issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Freshpet uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Freshpet bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Freshpet has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Freshpet Predictive Daily Indicators

Freshpet intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Freshpet stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Freshpet Corporate Filings

8K
8th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F4
7th of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
17th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
6th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
27th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
20th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

Freshpet Forecast Models

Freshpet's time-series forecasting models are one of many Freshpet's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Freshpet's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Freshpet Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Freshpet prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Freshpet shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Freshpet. By using and applying Freshpet Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Freshpet entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Operating Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Net Loss(0.04)(0.04)
Gross Profit Margin 0.38  0.47 

Current Freshpet Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Freshpet analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Freshpet analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
165.59Strong Buy20Odds
Freshpet current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Freshpet analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Freshpet stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Freshpet, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Freshpet conference calls.
Freshpet Analyst Advice Details

Freshpet Stock Analysis Indicators

Freshpet stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Freshpet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Freshpet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Freshpet stock analysis, traders can identify Freshpet position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow132.7 M
Long Term Debt393.1 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity953.5 M
Tax Provision210 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.093
Property Plant And Equipment Net984.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments296.9 M
Cash296.9 M
Accounts Payable36.1 M
Net Debt128.2 M
50 Day M A150.4711
Total Current Liabilities89.2 M
Other Operating Expenses797.3 M
Non Current Assets TotalB
Forward Price Earnings151.5152
Non Currrent Assets Other28.9 M
Stock Based Compensation24.9 M

Additional Tools for Freshpet Stock Analysis

When running Freshpet's price analysis, check to measure Freshpet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freshpet is operating at the current time. Most of Freshpet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freshpet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freshpet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freshpet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.