Safety Insurance Group Stock Analysis

SAFT Stock  USD 85.89  1.03  1.21%   
Safety Insurance Group is overvalued with Real Value of 77.02 and Target Price of 70.0. The main objective of Safety Insurance stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Safety Insurance Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Safety Insurance's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Safety Insurance stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Safety Insurance is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Safety Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Safety Insurance Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Safety Stock Analysis Notes

About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.48. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Safety Insurance has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.31. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.07. The firm last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2024. Safety Insurance Group, Inc. provides private passenger and commercial automobile, and homeowner insurance in the United States. Safety Insurance Group, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts. Safety Ins operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 552 people. To find out more about Safety Insurance Group contact George CPCU at 617 951 0600 or learn more at https://www.safetyinsurance.com.

Safety Insurance Investment Alerts

Safety Insurance Group currently holds 49.76 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Safety Insurance has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Safety Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 84.0% of Safety Insurance shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: SAFT 3-Year Book Growth Rate -2.90 percent - GuruFocus.com

Safety Insurance Upcoming and Recent Events

28th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Safety Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Safety Insurance's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2003-05-14
2003-03-310.250.22-0.0312 
2010-05-05
2010-03-310.760.850.0911 
2003-08-08
2003-06-300.340.430.0926 
View All Earnings Estimates

Safety Insurance Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Safety Insurance's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Safety Insurance's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Safety Insurance's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Safety Insurance's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Safety Insurance Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Safety Insurance stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Dividend Beast Idea
Dividend Beast
Solid, dividend-paying stocks and ETFs

Safety Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
165 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
155.5 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
141.1 K
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc2024-06-30
105.2 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
101.4 K
Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc2024-06-30
95 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
69.9 K
Northstar Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
67.6 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
67.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.1 M
Srb Corp2024-09-30
1.8 M
Note, although Safety Insurance's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Safety Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.26 B.

Safety Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.07 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.11 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.11.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 

Management Efficiency

Safety Insurance has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0278 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0278 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0924 %, meaning that it created $0.0924 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Safety Insurance's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Safety Insurance manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to 0.01 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to -0.0036 in 2024. At this time, Safety Insurance's Total Current Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Non Current Liabilities Total is likely to gain to about 694.1 M in 2024, whereas Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop slightly above 1.6 B in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 54.85  69.33 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 53.17  56.87 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 35.74  37.52 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.39  0.90 
Enterprise Value Multiple 35.74  37.52 
Price Fair Value 1.39  0.90 
Enterprise Value1.1 B644.3 M
The strategic decisions made by Safety Insurance management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Dividend Yield
0.0424
Operating Margin
0.1119
Profit Margin
0.0686
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0424
Beta
0.156

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of November, Safety Insurance has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0248, semi deviation of 1.17, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4019.98. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Safety Insurance, as well as the relationship between them.

Safety Insurance Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Safety Insurance middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Safety Insurance. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Safety Insurance Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Safety Insurance insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Safety Insurance's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Safety Insurance insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Srb Corp over a month ago
Acquisition by Srb Corp of 32384 shares of Safety Insurance at 67.2432 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Brian Lam over two months ago
Disposition of 226 shares by Brian Lam of Safety Insurance at 81.46 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Glenn Hiltpold over two months ago
Disposition of 389 shares by Glenn Hiltpold of Safety Insurance at 84.41 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Whitford over three months ago
Disposition of 300 shares by Christopher Whitford of Safety Insurance at 79.6 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Brophy Charles Joseph Iii over three months ago
Acquisition by Brophy Charles Joseph Iii of 1000 shares of Safety Insurance at 78.8 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mcconnell Mary Frances over three months ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Mcconnell Mary Frances of Safety Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Glenn Hiltpold over three months ago
Disposition of 338 shares by Glenn Hiltpold of Safety Insurance at 76.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Glenn Hiltpold over six months ago
Acquisition by Glenn Hiltpold of 1831 shares of Safety Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Stephen Varga over six months ago
Disposition of 900 shares by Stephen Varga of Safety Insurance at 79.35 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Whitford over six months ago
Disposition of 702 shares by Christopher Whitford of Safety Insurance at 80.44 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Christopher Whitford over six months ago
Disposition of 919 shares by Christopher Whitford of Safety Insurance at 80.37 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Brophy Charles Joseph Iii over six months ago
Acquisition by Brophy Charles Joseph Iii of 1000 shares of Safety Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3

Safety Insurance Outstanding Bonds

Safety Insurance issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Safety Insurance uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Safety bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Safety Insurance Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Safety Insurance Predictive Daily Indicators

Safety Insurance intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Safety Insurance stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Safety Insurance Corporate Filings

10Q
8th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
6th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
5th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
26th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
9th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
15th of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
9th of August 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
7th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Safety Insurance Forecast Models

Safety Insurance's time-series forecasting models are one of many Safety Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Safety Insurance's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Safety Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Safety Insurance prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Safety shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Safety Insurance. By using and applying Safety Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Safety entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.03  0.02 
Operating Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 

Current Safety Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Safety analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Safety analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
70.0Strong Sell0Odds
Safety Insurance Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Safety analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Safety stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Safety Insurance, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Safety conference calls.
Safety Analyst Advice Details

Safety Stock Analysis Indicators

Safety Insurance Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Safety Insurance stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Safety Insurance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Safety Insurance stock analysis, traders can identify Safety Insurance position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow25.3 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.7 M
Total Stockholder Equity804.3 M
Tax Provision9.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y12.308
Property Plant And Equipment Net31.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments517.6 M
Cash38.2 M
Accounts Payable80.2 M
Net Debt11.6 M
50 Day M A82.1486
Total Current Liabilities499.7 M
Other Operating Expenses925.9 M
Non Current Assets Total1.6 B
Non Currrent Assets Other-59.6 M
Stock Based Compensation4.3 M

Additional Tools for Safety Stock Analysis

When running Safety Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Safety Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Safety Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Safety Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Safety Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Safety Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Safety Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.