Safety Insurance Group Stock Technical Analysis

SAFT Stock  USD 77.34  1.37  1.80%   
As of the 29th of January, Safety Insurance has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0956, coefficient of variation of 804.83, and Semi Deviation of 1.09. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Safety Insurance, as well as the relationship between them.

Safety Insurance Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Safety, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SafetySafety Insurance's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Safety Insurance Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
70.0Strong Sell0Odds
Safety Insurance Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Safety analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Safety stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Safety Insurance, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Safety conference calls.
Safety Analyst Advice Details
Is there potential for Property & Casualty Insurance market expansion? Will Safety introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Safety Insurance. If investors know Safety will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Safety Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.104
Dividend Share
3.62
Earnings Share
5.87
Revenue Per Share
83.593
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
Investors evaluate Safety Insurance using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Safety Insurance's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Safety Insurance's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Safety Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Safety Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Safety Insurance's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Safety Insurance 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Safety Insurance's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Safety Insurance.
0.00
10/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/29/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Safety Insurance on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Safety Insurance Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Safety Insurance over 90 days. Safety Insurance is related to or competes with Selective Insurance, Universal Insurance, Root, Ategrity Specialty, United Fire, Donegal Group, and Peoples Bancorp. Safety Insurance Group, Inc. provides private passenger and commercial automobile, and homeowner insurance in the United... More

Safety Insurance Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Safety Insurance's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Safety Insurance Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Safety Insurance Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Safety Insurance's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Safety Insurance's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Safety Insurance historical prices to predict the future Safety Insurance's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.8076.0777.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.1572.4283.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.8379.1080.37
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
63.7070.0077.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Safety Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Safety Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Safety Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Safety Insurance.

Safety Insurance January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Safety Insurance Backtested Returns

Currently, Safety Insurance Group is very steady. Safety Insurance owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.15, which indicates the firm had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Safety Insurance Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Safety Insurance's Semi Deviation of 1.09, risk adjusted performance of 0.0956, and Coefficient Of Variation of 804.83 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. Safety Insurance has a performance score of 12 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.2, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Safety Insurance's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Safety Insurance is expected to be smaller as well. Safety Insurance right now has a risk of 1.27%. Please validate Safety Insurance downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Safety Insurance will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.42  

Modest reverse predictability

Safety Insurance Group has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Safety Insurance time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Safety Insurance price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Safety Insurance price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.42
Spearman Rank Test-0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.29
Safety Insurance technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Safety Insurance technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Safety Insurance trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Safety Insurance Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Safety Insurance across different markets.

About Safety Insurance Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Safety Insurance Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Safety Insurance Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Safety Insurance price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Safety Insurance. By analyzing Safety Insurance's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Safety Insurance's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Safety Insurance specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04780.0440.0296
Price To Sales Ratio1.21.090.75

Safety Insurance January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Safety help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Safety from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Safety charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Safety Insurance January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Safety stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Safety Stock Analysis

When running Safety Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Safety Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Safety Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Safety Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Safety Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Safety Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Safety Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.