First Business Financial Stock Technical Analysis
| FBIZ Stock | USD 56.68 2.06 3.51% |
As of the 25th of January, First Business shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 730.24, mean deviation of 1.16, and Downside Deviation of 1.15. First Business Financial technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
First Business Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Business' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.First Business Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 61.4 | Strong Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First Business Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Business. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.371 | Dividend Share 1.12 | Earnings Share 6.07 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.197 |
The market value of First Business Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Business' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Business' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Business' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Business' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
First Business 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Business' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Business.
| 10/27/2025 |
| 01/25/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Business on October 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Business Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Business over 90 days. First Business is related to or competes with Home Bancorp, Northfield Bancorp, Red River, Civista Bancshares, Capital Bancorp, Bank7 Corp, and First Bank. First Business Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First Business Bank that provides comme... More
First Business Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Business' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Business Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0874 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.35 |
First Business Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Business' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Business' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Business historical prices to predict the future First Business' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1056 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1348 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0589 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1205 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1969 |
First Business January 25, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1056 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2069 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.951 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 730.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Variance | 2.5 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0874 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1348 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0589 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1205 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1969 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9044 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.56) | |||
| Skewness | 0.6498 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.15 |
First Business Financial Backtested Returns
First Business appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. First Business Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which denotes the company had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Business Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Business' Downside Deviation of 1.15, coefficient of variation of 730.24, and Mean Deviation of 1.16 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Business holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.05, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. First Business returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Business is expected to follow. Please check First Business' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether First Business' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.11 |
Insignificant predictability
First Business Financial has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Business time series from 27th of October 2025 to 11th of December 2025 and 11th of December 2025 to 25th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Business Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current First Business price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.88 |
First Business technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Business Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirty-six with a total number of output elements of twenty-five. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Business Financial volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Business Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Business Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Business Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Business Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Business Financial. By analyzing First Business's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Business's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Business specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0259 | 0.0219 | 0.0158 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.44 | 1.65 | 1.86 |
First Business January 25, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1056 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2069 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.951 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 730.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Variance | 2.5 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0874 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1348 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0589 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1205 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1969 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9044 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.56) | |||
| Skewness | 0.6498 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.15 |
First Business January 25, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.82) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | ||
| Day Median Price | 57.68 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 57.35 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.03) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.52 |
Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis
When running First Business' price analysis, check to measure First Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Business is operating at the current time. Most of First Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.