First Business Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FBIZ Stock | USD 50.25 0.45 0.90% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding First Business Financial is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell First Business Financial given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards First Business. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for First Business Financial, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out First Business Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as First and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards First Business Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
First |
Execute First Business Buy or Sell Advice
The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First Business Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First Business Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First Business' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
First Business Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| First Business has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 20th of November 2024 First Business paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: First business financial director sells 49,000 in stock |
First Business Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of First Business' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First Business' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First Business daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First Business Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First Business returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First Business.
| Mean Return | 0.29 | Value At Risk | -3.58 | Potential Upside | 3.96 | Standard Deviation | 2.55 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First Business historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
First Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as First Business, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Business Financial back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 134.1 K | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 118.1 K | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-09-30 | 105.2 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-06-30 | 104.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 92.4 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 89.6 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 87.5 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 78 K | Federated Hermes Inc | 2024-09-30 | 66.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 680.5 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 537.7 K |
First Business Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (19.4M) | (10.2M) | 201K | 45.6M | 54.0M | 56.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 28.8M | 26.4M | 35.6M | 35.4M | 54.5M | 57.2M | |
| Depreciation | 3.0M | 3.5M | 3.6M | 4.1M | 3.8M | 2.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 5.4M | 14.8M | (2.0M) | (3.2M) | (54.5M) | (51.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 5.2M | 5.7M | 6.2M | 7.4M | 438K | 416.1K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 225K | 264K | 391K | 3.2M | 4.0M | 4.1M | |
| Net Income | 23.3M | 17.0M | 35.8M | 40.9M | 54.5M | 57.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 67.1M | 56.9M | 57.1M | 102.7M | 54.0M | 69.7M | |
| Investments | (127.5M) | (448.1M) | (107.8M) | (233.3M) | (523.6M) | (497.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 20.5M | 99.1M | (15.7M) | 43.3M | 49.8M | 37.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 432K | 12.1M | 2.1M | (3.1M) | (2.7M) | (2.6M) |
First Business Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Business or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Business' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
First Business Volatility Alert
First Business Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.89 and kurtosis of 8.59. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Business' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Business' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.First Business Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing First Business' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First Business' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First Business and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First Business or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First Business' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Business by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare First Business to competition |
| Fundamentals | First Business | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0111 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.28 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.38 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 656.87 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 8.3 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.17 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 67.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 18.37 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 14.43 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.38 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.97 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 89.23 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 131.72 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 22.65 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 54.45 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 84.44 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 9.96 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 330.92 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 10.82 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 36.16 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 54.45 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.93 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.64 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.89 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 52.8 | |
| Number Of Employees | 353 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.83 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 416.82 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.51 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 230.73 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.69 % |
Note: Disposition of 1000 shares by Lorenz William Kent of First Business at 49.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
First Business Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About First Business Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell First Business Financial? Buying financial instruments such as First Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis
When running First Business' price analysis, check to measure First Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Business is operating at the current time. Most of First Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.