FirstGroup Plc (Germany) Technical Analysis
| FGR Stock | EUR 2.12 0.01 0.47% |
As of the 1st of March, FirstGroup Plc shows the Mean Deviation of 0.8964, coefficient of variation of 1170.05, and Downside Deviation of 1.23. FirstGroup plc technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm FirstGroup plc jensen alpha, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if FirstGroup plc is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 2.12 per share.
FirstGroup Plc Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as FirstGroup, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstGroupFirstGroup |
FirstGroup Plc 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FirstGroup Plc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FirstGroup Plc.
| 12/01/2025 |
| 03/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in FirstGroup Plc on December 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FirstGroup plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in FirstGroup Plc over 90 days. FirstGroup Plc is related to or competes with PT Bank, BANK MANDIRI, BANK MANDIRI, BANK MANDIRI, BANK RAKYAT, PT Bank, and PT Bank. The companys First Student segment provides student transportation services through a fleet of approximately 44,000 yell... More
FirstGroup Plc Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FirstGroup Plc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FirstGroup plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0109 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.88 |
FirstGroup Plc Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FirstGroup Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FirstGroup Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FirstGroup Plc historical prices to predict the future FirstGroup Plc's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0691 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0799 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0107 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5633 |
FirstGroup Plc March 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0691 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5733 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8964 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9054 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1170.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0109 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0799 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0107 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5633 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8198 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.24) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5358 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.21 |
FirstGroup plc Backtested Returns
At this point, FirstGroup Plc is slightly risky. FirstGroup plc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0831, which denotes the company had a 0.0831 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for FirstGroup plc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm FirstGroup Plc's Mean Deviation of 0.8964, coefficient of variation of 1170.05, and Downside Deviation of 1.23 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. FirstGroup Plc has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, FirstGroup Plc's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding FirstGroup Plc is expected to be smaller as well. FirstGroup plc right now shows a risk of 1.24%. Please confirm FirstGroup plc potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if FirstGroup plc will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.63 |
Good predictability
FirstGroup plc has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FirstGroup Plc time series from 1st of December 2025 to 15th of January 2026 and 15th of January 2026 to 1st of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FirstGroup plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current FirstGroup Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.63 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.51 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
FirstGroup Plc technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
FirstGroup plc Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for FirstGroup plc across different markets.
About FirstGroup Plc Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of FirstGroup plc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of FirstGroup plc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on FirstGroup plc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding FirstGroup plc. By analyzing FirstGroup Plc's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of FirstGroup Plc's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to FirstGroup Plc specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
FirstGroup Plc March 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of FirstGroup help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FirstGroup from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze FirstGroup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0691 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5733 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8964 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9054 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1170.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0109 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0799 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0107 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5633 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8198 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.24) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5358 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.21 |
FirstGroup Plc March 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FirstGroup stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 2.12 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 2.12 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.00 |
Complementary Tools for FirstGroup Stock analysis
When running FirstGroup Plc's price analysis, check to measure FirstGroup Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstGroup Plc is operating at the current time. Most of FirstGroup Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstGroup Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstGroup Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstGroup Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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