Merchants Bancorp Stock Technical Analysis
| MBIN Stock | USD 35.36 0.50 1.43% |
As of the 26th of January, Merchants Bancorp secures the Downside Deviation of 1.93, mean deviation of 1.46, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0703. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Merchants Bancorp, as well as the relationship between them.
Merchants Bancorp Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Merchants, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MerchantsMerchants | Build AI portfolio with Merchants Stock |
Merchants Bancorp Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 41.33 | Buy | 3 | Odds |
Most Merchants analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Merchants stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Merchants Bancorp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Merchants conference calls.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merchants Bancorp. If investors know Merchants will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Merchants Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 0.39 | Earnings Share 4.35 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Merchants Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Merchants that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Merchants Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Merchants Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Merchants Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Merchants Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Merchants Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Merchants Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Merchants Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Merchants Bancorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Merchants Bancorp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Merchants Bancorp.
| 10/28/2025 |
| 01/26/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Merchants Bancorp on October 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Merchants Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Merchants Bancorp over 90 days. Merchants Bancorp is related to or competes with First Merchants, ST Bancorp, 1st Source, German American, TriCo Bancshares, Lakeland Financial, and National Bank. Merchants Bancorp operates as the diversified bank holding company in the United States More
Merchants Bancorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Merchants Bancorp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Merchants Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0453 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.89 |
Merchants Bancorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Merchants Bancorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Merchants Bancorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Merchants Bancorp historical prices to predict the future Merchants Bancorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0703 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0578 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0452 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1119 |
Merchants Bancorp January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0703 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1219 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1144.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.7 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0453 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0578 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0452 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1119 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.50) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0267 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0851 |
Merchants Bancorp Backtested Returns
As of now, Merchants Stock is very steady. Merchants Bancorp has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0856, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0856 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Merchants Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Merchants Bancorp's Downside Deviation of 1.93, mean deviation of 1.46, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0703 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. Merchants Bancorp has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.41, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Merchants Bancorp will likely underperform. Merchants Bancorp right now secures a risk of 1.95%. Please verify Merchants Bancorp value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Merchants Bancorp will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | 0.07 |
Virtually no predictability
Merchants Bancorp has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Merchants Bancorp time series from 28th of October 2025 to 12th of December 2025 and 12th of December 2025 to 26th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Merchants Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Merchants Bancorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.07 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.03 |
Merchants Bancorp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Merchants Bancorp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Merchants Bancorp volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Merchants Bancorp Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Merchants Bancorp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merchants Bancorp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Merchants Bancorp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Merchants Bancorp. By analyzing Merchants Bancorp's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Merchants Bancorp's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Merchants Bancorp specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0264 | 0.0313 | 0.0282 | 0.0194 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.55 | 1.13 | 1.3 | 1.24 |
Merchants Bancorp January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Merchants help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merchants from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Merchants charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0703 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1219 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1144.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.7 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0453 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0578 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0452 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1119 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.50) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0267 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0851 |
Merchants Bancorp January 26, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Merchants stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2,144 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.50 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 35.01 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 35.13 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.60 |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Merchants Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. To learn how to invest in Merchants Stock, please use our How to Invest in Merchants Bancorp guide.You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merchants Bancorp. If investors know Merchants will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Merchants Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 0.39 | Earnings Share 4.35 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Merchants Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Merchants that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Merchants Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Merchants Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Merchants Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Merchants Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Merchants Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Merchants Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Merchants Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.