Bank of Ireland Group PLC Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

BKRIF Stock  USD 10.15  0.21  2.11%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bank of Ireland on the next trading day is expected to be 9.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.14. Bank Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bank of Ireland Group PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Bank of Ireland Group PLC is based on an artificially constructed time series of Bank of Ireland Group PLC daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Bank of Ireland Group PLC 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bank of Ireland on the next trading day is expected to be 9.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank of Ireland Group PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bank of Ireland Group PLC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Bank of Ireland Group PLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bank of Ireland Group PLC's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank of Ireland Group PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.52 and 11.88, respectively. We have considered Bank of Ireland Group PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.15
9.70
Expected Value
11.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank of Ireland Group PLC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank of Ireland Group PLC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.88
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0482
MADMean absolute deviation0.2102
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0226
SAESum of the absolute errors11.1413
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Bank of Ireland 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Bank of Ireland Group PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of Ireland Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.9710.1512.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.419.5911.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.519.3910.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bank of Ireland Group PLC

For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank of Ireland Group PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank of Ireland Group PLC's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bank of Ireland Group PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bank of Ireland Group PLC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bank of Ireland Group PLC's current price.

Bank of Ireland Group PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank of Ireland Group PLC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank of Ireland Group PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank of Ireland Group PLC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank of Ireland entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bank of Ireland Group PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bank of Ireland Group PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank of Ireland Group PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Bank Pink Sheet

Bank of Ireland Group PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank of Ireland Group PLC security.