Bank of Ireland Group PLC Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BKRIF Stock | USD 20.70 0.52 2.58% |
Bank Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Bank of Ireland Group PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Bank of Ireland Group PLC's pink sheet price is roughly 64 suggesting that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 5th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bank of Ireland Group PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of Ireland from the perspective of Bank of Ireland Group PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank of Ireland on the next trading day is expected to be 20.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.14. Bank of Ireland Group PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 20.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bank |
Bank of Ireland Group PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bank of Ireland Group PLC Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank of Ireland on the next trading day is expected to be 20.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank of Ireland Group PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bank of Ireland Group PLC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bank of Ireland Group PLC | Bank of Ireland Group PLC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bank of Ireland Group PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bank of Ireland Group PLC's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank of Ireland Group PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.50 and 22.90, respectively. We have considered Bank of Ireland Group PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank of Ireland Group PLC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank of Ireland Group PLC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4774 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0607 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.269 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0146 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.14 |
Predictive Modules for Bank of Ireland Group PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of Ireland Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank of Ireland Group PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank of Ireland Group PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of Ireland Group PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bank of Ireland Group PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank of Ireland Group PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank of Ireland Group PLC's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of Ireland Group PLC's historical news coverage. Bank of Ireland Group PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.51 and 22.89, respectively. We have considered Bank of Ireland Group PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank of Ireland Group PLC is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of Ireland Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank of Ireland Group PLC Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of Ireland Group PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of Ireland Group PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of Ireland Group PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.20 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.70 | 20.70 | 0.00 |
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Bank of Ireland Group PLC Hype Timeline
Bank of Ireland Group PLC is currently traded for 20.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Bank is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank of Ireland Group PLC is about 5057.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.72. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bank of Ireland Group PLC last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2022. The entity had 1:30 split on the 7th of July 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of Ireland Group PLC to cross-verify your projections.Bank of Ireland Group PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of Ireland Group PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of Ireland Group PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of Ireland Group PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of Ireland Group PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for Bank of Ireland Group PLC
For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank of Ireland Group PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank of Ireland Group PLC's price trends.View Bank of Ireland Group PLC Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bank of Ireland Group PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank of Ireland Group PLC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank of Ireland Group PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank of Ireland Group PLC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank of Ireland entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.26 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.52 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 64.45 |
Bank of Ireland Group PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bank of Ireland Group PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank of Ireland Group PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bank of Ireland Group PLC
The number of cover stories for Bank of Ireland Group PLC depends on current market conditions and Bank of Ireland Group PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of Ireland Group PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of Ireland Group PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Bank Pink Sheet
Bank of Ireland Group PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank of Ireland Group PLC security.