Bank of the Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BOTJ Stock | USD 18.90 0.20 1.07% |
Bank Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of Bank of the's share price is at 59 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank of the, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bank of the hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of the from the perspective of Bank of the response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank of the on the next trading day is expected to be 18.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.70. Bank of the after-hype prediction price | USD 18.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of the to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Bank Stock please use our How to buy in Bank Stock guide.Bank of the Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bank of the Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank of the on the next trading day is expected to be 18.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank of the's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bank of the Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bank of the | Bank of the Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bank of the Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bank of the's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank of the's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.25 and 20.48, respectively. We have considered Bank of the's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank of the stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank of the stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.66 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.049 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2117 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0118 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.703 |
Predictive Modules for Bank of the
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of the. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank of the's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bank of the After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank of the at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of the or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank of the, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank of the Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank of the's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of the's historical news coverage. Bank of the's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.29 and 20.51, respectively. We have considered Bank of the's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank of the is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of the is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank of the Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of the is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of the backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of the, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.90 | 18.90 | 0.00 |
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Bank of the Hype Timeline
Bank of the is currently traded for 18.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bank is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank of the is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.90. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bank of the last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The entity had 11:10 split on the 24th of June 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of the to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Bank Stock please use our How to buy in Bank Stock guide.Bank of the Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of the's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of the's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of the's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of the may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UBCP | United Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.06 | 2.86 | (2.56) | 8.48 | |
| FUSB | First Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.79 | 0.06 | 2.72 | (3.07) | 10.76 | |
| FDSB | Fifth District Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.19 | 0.21 | 1.09 | (1.05) | 3.97 | |
| SSBI | Summit State Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.23 | 3.84 | (2.69) | 6.91 | |
| IROQ | IF Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.36 | 0.05 | 1.38 | (0.85) | 5.02 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | 0.14 | 2.90 | (1.78) | 8.81 | |
| CASH | Meta Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.20 | 3.43 | (1.72) | 7.97 | |
| AUBN | Auburn National Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.79 | (0.01) | 4.58 | (4.38) | 17.69 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.92 | 0.07 | 7.17 | (4.04) | 21.76 | |
| HNNA | Hennessy Ad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.62 | 0.05 | 2.45 | (2.50) | 8.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bank of the
For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank of the's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank of the's price trends.Bank of the Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank of the stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank of the could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank of the by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bank of the Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank of the stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank of the shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank of the stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank of the entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bank of the Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bank of the's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank of the's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bank of the
The number of cover stories for Bank of the depends on current market conditions and Bank of the's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of the is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of the's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bank of the Short Properties
Bank of the's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank of the's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank of the often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank of the's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of the's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of the to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Bank Stock please use our How to buy in Bank Stock guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
What growth prospects exist in Stock sector? Can Bank capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank of the. Projected growth potential of Bank fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each Bank of the valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
The market value of Bank of the is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank of the's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank of the's true underlying value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Because Bank of the's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank of the's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bank of the's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bank of the should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Bank of the's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.