CES Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CEU Stock | CAD 14.19 0.11 0.77% |
CES Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although CES Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CES Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CES Energy fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of CES Energy's share price is above 70 as of today suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling CES, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.22 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8314 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9871 | Wall Street Target Price 14.125 |
Using CES Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CES Energy Solutions from the perspective of CES Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CES Energy Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 14.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.15. CES Energy after-hype prediction price | CAD 14.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CES |
CES Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CES price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CES using various technical indicators. When you analyze CES charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CES Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CES Energy Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 14.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CES Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CES Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CES Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CES Energy | CES Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CES Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CES Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CES Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.42 and 16.96, respectively. We have considered CES Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CES Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CES Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9024 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0768 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2025 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0172 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.15 |
Predictive Modules for CES Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CES Energy Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CES Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CES Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CES Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CES Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CES Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CES Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CES Energy's historical news coverage. CES Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.44 and 16.94, respectively. We have considered CES Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CES Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CES Energy Solutions is based on 3 months time horizon.
CES Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CES Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CES Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CES Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 2.77 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.19 | 14.19 | 0.00 |
|
CES Energy Hype Timeline
CES Energy Solutions is currently traded for 14.19on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. CES is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.7%. %. The volatility of related hype on CES Energy is about 2742.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.26. About 39.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CES Energy was currently reported as 3.75. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. CES Energy Solutions had 3:1 split on the 24th of July 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CES Energy to cross-verify your projections.CES Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CES Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CES Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how CES Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CES Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EFX | Enerflex | 0.39 | 7 per month | 1.59 | 0.21 | 4.21 | (2.90) | 10.61 | |
| PXT | Parex Resources | 0.05 | 7 per month | 2.37 | 0.07 | 3.27 | (3.86) | 9.39 | |
| HWX | Headwater Exploration | 0.21 | 7 per month | 1.22 | 0.32 | 4.20 | (2.39) | 9.58 | |
| FRU | Freehold Royalties | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.89 | 0.17 | 2.18 | (1.65) | 6.50 | |
| AAV | Advantage Oil Gas | 0.09 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.57 | (2.56) | 8.25 | |
| BIR | Birchcliff Energy | (0.08) | 5 per month | 1.42 | 0.08 | 4.13 | (2.64) | 8.79 | |
| VET | Vermilion Energy | 0.12 | 9 per month | 2.07 | 0.12 | 4.32 | (3.35) | 13.05 | |
| BTE | Baytex Energy Corp | 0.03 | 9 per month | 1.91 | 0.18 | 5.05 | (3.39) | 19.59 | |
| TCW | Trican Well Service | 0.08 | 8 per month | 2.27 | 0.12 | 3.40 | (4.74) | 12.20 | |
| PSI | Pason Systems | 0.15 | 6 per month | 1.40 | (0.01) | 2.31 | (2.64) | 6.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for CES Energy
For every potential investor in CES, whether a beginner or expert, CES Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CES Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CES. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CES Energy's price trends.CES Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CES Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CES Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CES Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CES Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CES Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CES Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CES Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CES Energy Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CES Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of CES Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CES Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ces stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Variance | 7.65 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CES Energy
The number of cover stories for CES Energy depends on current market conditions and CES Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CES Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CES Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in CES Stock
CES Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether CES Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CES with respect to the benefits of owning CES Energy security.