Canadian National Stock Forward View
| CNI Stock | USD 99.01 2.48 2.57% |
Canadian Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Canadian National's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the value of relative strength index of Canadian National's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.114 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.8546 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.8844 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.7942 | Wall Street Target Price 108.9429 |
Using Canadian National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canadian National Railway from the perspective of Canadian National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Canadian National using Canadian National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Canadian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Canadian National's stock price.
Canadian National Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Canadian National's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Canadian. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Canadian National stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 98.1923 | Short Percent 0.0085 | Short Ratio 3.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.5 M | 50 Day MA 97.9654 |
Canadian Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canadian National Railway on the next trading day is expected to be 97.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.52.Canadian National Railway Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Canadian National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Canadian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Canadian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Canadian National Railway. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Canadian National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Canadian National.
Canadian National Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Canadian National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Canadian National Railway stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Canadian National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Canadian National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Canadian National's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canadian National Railway on the next trading day is expected to be 97.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.52. Canadian National after-hype prediction price | USD 98.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canadian National to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Canadian contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Canadian National Railway will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Canadian National trading at USD 99.01, that is roughly USD 0.0241 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Canadian National's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Canadian National Railway options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Canadian Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Canadian National's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Canadian National's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Canadian National stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Canadian National's open interest, investors have to compare it to Canadian National's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Canadian National is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Canadian. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Canadian National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Canadian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canadian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canadian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Canadian National Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Canadian National's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1996-12-31 | Previous Quarter 226.3 M | Current Value 362.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 249.9 M |
Canadian National Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canadian National Railway on the next trading day is expected to be 97.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14, mean absolute percentage error of 2.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canadian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canadian National's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Canadian National Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Canadian National | Canadian National Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Canadian National Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Canadian National's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Canadian National's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 96.09 and 99.16, respectively. We have considered Canadian National's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canadian National stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canadian National stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6605 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1373 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0118 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 70.5157 |
Predictive Modules for Canadian National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canadian National Railway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Canadian National After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Canadian National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canadian National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Canadian National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Canadian National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Canadian National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canadian National's historical news coverage. Canadian National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.30 and 100.36, respectively. We have considered Canadian National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Canadian National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canadian National Railway is based on 3 months time horizon.
Canadian National Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canadian National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canadian National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canadian National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.54 | 0.16 | 0.46 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
99.01 | 98.83 | 0.18 |
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Canadian National Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Canadian National Railway is traded for 99.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.46. Canadian is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 98.83. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 84.62%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Canadian National is about 30.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 98.55. About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Canadian National was currently reported as 25.78. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.13. Canadian National Railway recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 2nd of December 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canadian National to cross-verify your projections.Canadian National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Canadian National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canadian National's future price movements. Getting to know how Canadian National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canadian National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NSC | Norfolk Southern | (3.53) | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.04 | 2.10 | (1.56) | 5.69 | |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | 2.65 | 7 per month | 1.28 | 0.06 | 2.82 | (2.05) | 7.63 | |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | 0.81 | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.09 | 2.27 | (2.04) | 5.63 | |
| FDX | FedEx | 2.92 | 9 per month | 0.46 | 0.33 | 3.52 | (1.59) | 7.76 | |
| CMI | Cummins | (0.67) | 6 per month | 1.05 | 0.26 | 2.83 | (2.27) | 8.70 | |
| URI | United Rentals | (58.02) | 7 per month | 2.72 | (0.02) | 4.20 | (3.19) | 17.82 | |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | 0.45 | 8 per month | 0.62 | 0.23 | 3.68 | (1.52) | 7.16 | |
| RSG | Republic Services | (0.90) | 9 per month | 0.91 | (0.03) | 1.74 | (1.38) | 4.33 | |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies | 6.07 | 8 per month | 1.42 | 0.09 | 3.09 | (2.30) | 8.86 | |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake | (0.49) | 9 per month | 0.94 | 0.16 | 2.58 | (1.54) | 4.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for Canadian National
For every potential investor in Canadian, whether a beginner or expert, Canadian National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Canadian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Canadian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Canadian National's price trends.Canadian National Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canadian National stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canadian National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canadian National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Canadian National Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canadian National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canadian National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canadian National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Canadian National Railway entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 78399.48 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.687 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 98.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 98.55 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.93 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.48 |
Canadian National Risk Indicators
The analysis of Canadian National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Canadian National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting canadian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Canadian National
The number of cover stories for Canadian National depends on current market conditions and Canadian National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Canadian National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Canadian National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Canadian National Short Properties
Canadian National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Canadian National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Canadian National Railway often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Canadian National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canadian National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 623.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 362.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canadian National to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is there potential for Ground Transportation market expansion? Will Canadian introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Canadian National. Projected growth potential of Canadian fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Canadian National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.114 | Dividend Share 3.55 | Earnings Share 5.67 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.024 |
Understanding Canadian National Railway requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Canadian's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Canadian National's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Canadian National's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Canadian National's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Canadian National should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Canadian National's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.