Capital One Stock Forward View
| COF Stock | USD 223.33 0.35 0.16% |
Capital Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Capital One's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of Capital One's share price is approaching 45 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Capital One, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.222 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.8088 | EPS Estimate Current Year 20.4209 | EPS Estimate Next Year 25.0202 | Wall Street Target Price 277 |
Using Capital One hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capital One Financial from the perspective of Capital One response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Capital One using Capital One's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Capital using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Capital One's stock price.
Capital One Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Capital One's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Capital. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Capital One stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 214.4011 | Short Percent 0.0139 | Short Ratio 2.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.5 M | 50 Day MA 232.1572 |
Capital Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Capital One Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 223.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 240.28.Capital One Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Capital One's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Capital. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Capital can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Capital One Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Capital One's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Capital One.
Capital One Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
Capital One's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Capital One Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Capital One's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Capital One stock will not fluctuate a lot when Capital One's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Capital One Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 223.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 240.28. Capital One after-hype prediction price | USD 224.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital One to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Capital contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Capital One Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Capital One trading at USD 223.33, that is roughly USD 0.0837 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Capital One's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Capital One Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Capital Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Capital One's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Capital One's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Capital One stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Capital One's open interest, investors have to compare it to Capital One's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Capital One is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Capital. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Capital One Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Capital One Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Capital One's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1994-12-31 | Previous Quarter 59.1 B | Current Value 55.3 B | Quarterly Volatility 15.6 B |
Capital One Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Capital One Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 223.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.94, mean absolute percentage error of 23.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 240.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Capital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Capital One's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Capital One Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Capital One | Capital One Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Capital One Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Capital One's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Capital One's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 221.60 and 225.63, respectively. We have considered Capital One's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capital One stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capital One stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.2717 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.9391 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0173 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 240.2831 |
Predictive Modules for Capital One
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital One Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capital One After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capital One at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capital One or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capital One, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capital One Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capital One's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capital One's historical news coverage. Capital One's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 222.03 and 226.05, respectively. We have considered Capital One's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capital One is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capital One Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capital One Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capital One is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capital One backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capital One, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.01 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
223.33 | 224.04 | 0.06 |
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Capital One Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Capital One Financial is traded for 223.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Capital is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 224.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 69.31%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Capital One is about 409.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 223.35. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.2. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Capital One Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.51. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2025. The firm had 3:1 split on the 2nd of June 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital One to cross-verify your projections.Capital One Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capital One's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capital One's future price movements. Getting to know how Capital One's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capital One may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.68 | 0.17 | 1.66 | (1.54) | 5.15 | |
| BAC | Bank of America | (0.02) | 6 per month | 1.35 | (0.03) | 1.68 | (2.16) | 5.64 | |
| PGR | Progressive Corp | 1.89 | 8 per month | 1.40 | (0.01) | 2.24 | (1.96) | 8.94 | |
| SPGI | SP Global | 4.17 | 7 per month | 1.37 | 0.04 | 2.15 | (1.80) | 8.95 | |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | (0.09) | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.17 | 2.57 | (2.07) | 7.56 | |
| SAN | Banco Santander SA | (0.06) | 10 per month | 1.08 | 0.24 | 2.90 | (2.21) | 6.15 | |
| HOOD | Robinhood Markets | (2.46) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.31 | (9.05) | 19.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Capital One
For every potential investor in Capital, whether a beginner or expert, Capital One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capital One's price trends.Capital One Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capital One stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capital One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capital One by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Capital One Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capital One stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capital One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capital One stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Capital One Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Capital One Risk Indicators
The analysis of Capital One's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capital One's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Variance | 3.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Capital One
The number of cover stories for Capital One depends on current market conditions and Capital One's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capital One is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capital One's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital One to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Can Consumer Finance industry sustain growth momentum? Does Capital have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital One. Projected growth potential of Capital fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Capital One demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.222 | Dividend Share 2.6 | Earnings Share 3.36 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.516 |
Investors evaluate Capital One Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Capital One's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Capital One's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Capital One's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Capital One should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Capital One's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.