Capital One Financial Stock Technical Analysis

COF Stock  USD 205.79  9.23  4.70%   
As of the 26th of February, Capital One shows the Mean Deviation of 1.61, risk adjusted performance of 0.026, and Downside Deviation of 3.3. Capital One Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Capital One Financial maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if Capital One Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 205.79 per share. Given that Capital One has jensen alpha of (0.16), we suggest you to validate Capital One Financial's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Capital One Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Capital, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CapitalCapital One's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Capital One Analyst Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
277.43Strong Buy22Odds
Capital One Financial current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Capital analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Capital stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Capital One Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Capital conference calls.
Capital Analyst Advice Details
Can Consumer Finance industry sustain growth momentum? Does Capital have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital One. Projected growth potential of Capital fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Capital One demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.222
Dividend Share
2.6
Earnings Share
3.36
Revenue Per Share
60.623
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.516
Investors evaluate Capital One Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Capital One's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Capital One's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Capital One's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Capital One should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Capital One's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Capital One 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capital One's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capital One.
0.00
11/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/26/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Capital One on November 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capital One Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capital One over 90 days. Capital One is related to or competes with Verde Bio, and Third Millennium. Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One Bank , National... More

Capital One Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capital One's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capital One Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Capital One Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capital One's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capital One's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capital One historical prices to predict the future Capital One's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
203.33205.75208.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
185.22228.86231.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
189.86192.28194.71
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
252.46277.43307.95
Details

Capital One February 26, 2026 Technical Indicators

Capital One Financial Backtested Returns

Capital One Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0279, which signifies that the company had a -0.0279 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Capital One Financial exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Capital One's Downside Deviation of 3.3, risk adjusted performance of 0.026, and Mean Deviation of 1.61 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.09, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Capital One will likely underperform. At this point, Capital One Financial has a negative expected return of -0.068%. Please make sure to confirm Capital One's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Capital One Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Capital One Financial has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capital One time series from 28th of November 2025 to 12th of January 2026 and 12th of January 2026 to 26th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capital One Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Capital One price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance132.71
Capital One technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Capital One technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Capital One trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Capital One Financial Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was fourteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Capital One Financial across different markets.

About Capital One Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Capital One Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capital One Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Capital One Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Capital One Financial. By analyzing Capital One's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Capital One's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Capital One specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02310.0170.01350.0102
Price To Sales Ratio1.011.271.891.69

Capital One February 26, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Capital help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Capital One February 26, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Capital stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis

When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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