Capital One Financial Stock Technical Analysis
| COF Stock | USD 220.20 2.90 1.33% |
As of the 26th of January, Capital One shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.022, mean deviation of 1.35, and Downside Deviation of 2.73. Capital One Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Capital One Financial maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if Capital One Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 220.2 per share. Given that Capital One has jensen alpha of (0.07), we suggest you to validate Capital One Financial's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Capital One Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Capital, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CapitalCapital One's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Capital One Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 277.6 | Strong Buy | 22 | Odds |
Most Capital analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Capital stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Capital One Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Capital conference calls.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital One. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.222 | Dividend Share 2.6 | Earnings Share 3.37 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.516 |
The market value of Capital One Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Capital One 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capital One's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capital One.
| 10/28/2025 |
| 01/26/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Capital One on October 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capital One Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capital One over 90 days. Capital One is related to or competes with Toronto Dominion, Bank of America, Progressive Corp, SP Global, UBS Group, Banco Santander, and Robinhood Markets. Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One Bank , National... More
Capital One Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capital One's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capital One Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.43 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.69 |
Capital One Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capital One's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capital One's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capital One historical prices to predict the future Capital One's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.022 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0209 |
Capital One January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.022 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0309 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4652.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Variance | 3.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0209 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.43 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) | |||
| Skewness | (1.73) | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.29 |
Capital One Financial Backtested Returns
Capital One Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Capital One Financial exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Capital One's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.022, mean deviation of 1.35, and Downside Deviation of 2.73 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.53, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Capital One will likely underperform. At this point, Capital One Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0014%. Please make sure to confirm Capital One's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Capital One Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.77 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Capital One Financial has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capital One time series from 28th of October 2025 to 12th of December 2025 and 12th of December 2025 to 26th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capital One Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current Capital One price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.77 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 101.07 |
Capital One technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Capital One Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Capital One Financial volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Capital One Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Capital One Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capital One Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Capital One Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Capital One Financial. By analyzing Capital One's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Capital One's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Capital One specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0231 | 0.017 | 0.0107 | 0.0102 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.01 | 1.27 | 2.45 | 1.72 |
Capital One January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Capital help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.022 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0309 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4652.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Variance | 3.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0209 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.43 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) | |||
| Skewness | (1.73) | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.29 |
Capital One January 26, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Capital stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.05 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.28 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 221.94 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 221.36 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.29) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 10.24 |
Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis
When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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