Capital One Financial Stock Performance

COF Stock  USD 220.18  2.88  1.33%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.53, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Capital One will likely underperform. Capital One Financial right now shows a risk of 2.0%. Please confirm Capital One Financial total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Capital One Financial will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Capital One Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Capital One is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.33
Five Day Return
(5.52)
Year To Date Return
(11.19)
Ten Year Return
247.84
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0145
Payout Ratio
0.1159
Last Split Factor
3:1
Forward Dividend Rate
3.2
Dividend Date
2025-12-01
 
Capital One dividend paid on 1st of December 2025
12/01/2025
1
Capital One Enjoys Multiple Analyst Upgrades Amid Litigation Clarity
01/07/2026
2
Jim Cramer Calls Capital One Absolutely Terrific
01/12/2026
3
Will Capital One Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report
01/15/2026
4
Jim Cramer on Capital One I Hope Itll Talk About Its Humongous Buyback on Its Conference Call
01/20/2026
5
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01/21/2026
6
Capital One announces acquisition of Brex, misses on Q4 earnings stock falls
01/22/2026
7
Is Capital One Financial Pricing Reflecting Recent Consumer Credit Trends Accurately
01/23/2026
8
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01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow43.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-26.4 B

Capital One Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  22,015  in Capital One Financial on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3.00  from holding Capital One Financial or generate 0.01% return on investment over 90 days. Capital One Financial is generating 0.0203% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9962% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Capital, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Capital One is expected to generate 2.97 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Capital One Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 220.18 90 days 220.18 
about 72.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital One to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.17 (This Capital One Financial probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.53 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Capital One will likely underperform. Additionally Capital One Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Capital One Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital One Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
218.18220.18222.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
186.65188.65242.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
219.54221.53223.53
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
252.62277.60308.14
Details

Capital One Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital One is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital One's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital One Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital One within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.53
σ
Overall volatility
14.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Capital One Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital One for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital One Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital One is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 1st of December 2025 Capital One paid $ 0.8 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from pymnts.com: Sen. Warren Accuses CFPB of Harming Trumps Affordability Push

Capital One Fundamentals Growth

Capital Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Capital One, and Capital One fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Capital Stock performance.

About Capital One Performance

By analyzing Capital One's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Capital One's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Capital One has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Capital One has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.14 

Things to note about Capital One Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital One for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital One Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital One is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 1st of December 2025 Capital One paid $ 0.8 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from pymnts.com: Sen. Warren Accuses CFPB of Harming Trumps Affordability Push
Evaluating Capital One's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Capital One's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Capital One's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Capital One's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Capital One's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Capital One's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Capital One's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Capital One's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Capital One's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Capital One's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Capital One's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis

When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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