Central Pacific Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| CPF Stock | USD 31.86 0.17 0.54% |
Central Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Central Pacific's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Central Pacific's share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Central Pacific, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Central Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Central Pacific Financial from the perspective of Central Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Central Pacific Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 31.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.64. Central Pacific after-hype prediction price | USD 31.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Pacific to cross-verify your projections. Central Pacific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Central price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Central using various technical indicators. When you analyze Central charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Central Pacific Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Central Pacific Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 31.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Central Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Central Pacific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Central Pacific Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Central Pacific | Central Pacific Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Central Pacific Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Central Pacific's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Central Pacific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.17 and 33.42, respectively. We have considered Central Pacific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Central Pacific stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Central Pacific stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.067 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4007 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.6428 |
Predictive Modules for Central Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Pacific Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Central Pacific After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Central Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Central Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Central Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Central Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Central Pacific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Central Pacific's historical news coverage. Central Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.23 and 33.49, respectively. We have considered Central Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Central Pacific is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Central Pacific Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Central Pacific Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Central Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Central Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Central Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.86 | 31.86 | 0.00 |
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Central Pacific Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Central Pacific Financial is traded for 31.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Central is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Central Pacific is about 1347.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.88. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.44. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Central Pacific Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The firm had 1:20 split on the 3rd of February 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Pacific to cross-verify your projections.Central Pacific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Central Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Central Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how Central Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Central Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MOFG | MidWestOne Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.15 | 3.03 | (2.28) | 13.04 | |
| HAFC | Hanmi Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.02 | (1.93) | 7.23 | |
| CFFN | Capitol Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | 0.15 | 2.80 | (1.77) | 8.42 | |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.52 | 0.08 | 4.71 | (2.14) | 12.71 | |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.07 | 2.72 | (1.57) | 8.85 | |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.04 | 3.57 | (2.35) | 10.05 | |
| AMAL | Amalgamated Bank | 1.81 | 7 per month | 1.10 | 0.22 | 3.60 | (2.09) | 8.06 | |
| HBT | Hbt Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | 0.06 | 3.07 | (2.90) | 8.89 | |
| EQBK | Equity Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.82 | 0.07 | 2.80 | (2.03) | 13.01 | |
| SBSI | Southside Bancshares | (0.60) | 10 per month | 0.89 | 0.13 | 2.73 | (1.57) | 8.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for Central Pacific
For every potential investor in Central, whether a beginner or expert, Central Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Central Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Central. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Central Pacific's price trends.Central Pacific Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Central Pacific stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Central Pacific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Central Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Central Pacific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Central Pacific stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Central Pacific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Central Pacific stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Central Pacific Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 20565.36 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0594 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 33.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 32.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.30) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.17 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.39 |
Central Pacific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Central Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Central Pacific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting central stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.65 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Central Pacific
The number of cover stories for Central Pacific depends on current market conditions and Central Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Central Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Central Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Central Pacific Short Properties
Central Pacific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Central Pacific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Central Pacific Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Central Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 924.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Pacific to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Central have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Central Pacific. Projected growth potential of Central fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Central Pacific demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
The market value of Central Pacific Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Central that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Central Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Central Pacific's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Central Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Central Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Central Pacific's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Central Pacific should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Central Pacific's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.