CVB Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CVBF Stock | USD 20.73 0.07 0.34% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CVB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 21.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.36. CVB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CVB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of CVB Financial's stock price is roughly 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 23rd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CVB, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.036 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.372 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.56 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.882 | Wall Street Target Price 23.1 |
Using CVB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CVB Financial from the perspective of CVB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CVB Financial using CVB Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CVB using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CVB Financial's stock price.
CVB Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CVB Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CVB. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CVB Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 19.2586 | Short Percent 0.0663 | Short Ratio 4.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.3 M | 50 Day MA 19.4272 |
CVB Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CVB Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CVB. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CVB can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CVB Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
CVB Financial Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
CVB Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CVB Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CVB Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CVB Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when CVB Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CVB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 21.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.36. CVB Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 20.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CVB Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CVB contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CVB Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With CVB Financial trading at USD 20.73, that is roughly USD 0.009976 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CVB Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CVB Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 CVB Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CVB Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CVB Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CVB Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CVB Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to CVB Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CVB Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CVB. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CVB Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CVB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CVB using various technical indicators. When you analyze CVB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CVB Financial Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the CVB Financial's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1989-06-30 | Previous Quarter 749.6 M | Current Value 797.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 442.9 M |
CVB Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CVB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 21.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CVB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CVB Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CVB Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CVB Financial | CVB Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CVB Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CVB Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CVB Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.97 and 23.16, respectively. We have considered CVB Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CVB Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CVB Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3979 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2154 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.3564 |
Predictive Modules for CVB Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVB Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CVB Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CVB Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CVB Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CVB Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CVB Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CVB Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CVB Financial's historical news coverage. CVB Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.14 and 22.32, respectively. We have considered CVB Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CVB Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVB Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
CVB Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CVB Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CVB Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CVB Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.60 | 0.39 | 0.12 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.73 | 20.73 | 0.00 |
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CVB Financial Hype Timeline
CVB Financial is currently traded for 20.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. CVB is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 74.07%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on CVB Financial is about 238.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.85. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.22. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CVB Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2025. The firm had 11:10 split on the 3rd of January 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CVB Financial to cross-verify your projections.CVB Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CVB Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CVB Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CVB Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CVB Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRK | Park National | 1.07 | 21 per month | 1.35 | 0.03 | 2.59 | (1.65) | 7.00 | |
| SFNC | Simmons First National | 1.07 | 15 per month | 1.09 | 0.08 | 3.23 | (1.56) | 6.50 | |
| BOH | Bank of Hawaii | 0.21 | 7 per month | 0.90 | 0.15 | 2.56 | (1.52) | 6.96 | |
| TOWN | Towne Bank | (0.02) | 9 per month | 1.11 | 0.05 | 2.74 | (2.21) | 6.35 | |
| PFS | Provident Financial Services | 1.07 | 4 per month | 0.97 | 0.10 | 2.57 | (1.69) | 6.72 | |
| BANC | Banc of California | 0.06 | 10 per month | 1.01 | 0.18 | 4.35 | (1.95) | 8.95 | |
| SBCF | Seacoast Banking | 0.05 | 11 per month | 0.97 | 0.11 | 3.69 | (1.54) | 8.54 | |
| WAFD | Washington Federal | 0.83 | 8 per month | 1.24 | 0.10 | 3.69 | (2.17) | 7.68 | |
| TRMK | Trustmark | 1.07 | 12 per month | 1.07 | 0.07 | 2.46 | (1.88) | 6.76 | |
| FFBC | First Financial Bancorp | 1.30 | 15 per month | 0.76 | 0.10 | 3.20 | (1.31) | 6.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for CVB Financial
For every potential investor in CVB, whether a beginner or expert, CVB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CVB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CVB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CVB Financial's price trends.CVB Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CVB Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CVB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CVB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CVB Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CVB Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CVB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CVB Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CVB Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 45811.26 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.14) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.83 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 61.8 |
CVB Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of CVB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CVB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cvb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Variance | 2.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.1 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CVB Financial
The number of cover stories for CVB Financial depends on current market conditions and CVB Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CVB Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CVB Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CVB Financial Short Properties
CVB Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when CVB Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CVB Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CVB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 268.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CVB Financial to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in CVB Stock please use our How to Invest in CVB Financial guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CVB Financial. If investors know CVB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CVB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.036 | Earnings Share 1.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.009 | Return On Assets |
The market value of CVB Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CVB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CVB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CVB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CVB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CVB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CVB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CVB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CVB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.