First Financial Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

FFBC Stock  USD 25.25  0.40  1.56%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of First Financial Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.88. First Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast First Financial stock prices and determine the direction of First Financial Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of First Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The relative strength index (RSI) of First Financial's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 91

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Financial Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.364
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.7333
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.918
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.1417
Wall Street Target Price
29.8333
Using First Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Financial Bancorp from the perspective of First Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Financial using First Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Financial's stock price.

First Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in First Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards First. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of First Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
24.7027
Short Percent
0.0388
Short Ratio
4.51
Shares Short Prior Month
2.6 M
50 Day MA
24.9304

First Financial Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to First Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Financial Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Financial.

First Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.99  
First Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Financial Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of First Financial Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.88.

First Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 25.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Financial to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.At present, First Financial's Receivables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 4.11, whereas Asset Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.07. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 262.8 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 57.4 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 First Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast First Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in First Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for First Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current First Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to First Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of First Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in First. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

First Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
First Financial polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for First Financial Bancorp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

First Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of First Financial Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

First Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest First FinancialFirst Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

First Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting First Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. First Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.00 and 26.58, respectively. We have considered First Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.25
24.79
Expected Value
26.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.75
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4079
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0165
SAESum of the absolute errors24.8794
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the First Financial historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for First Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Financial Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.8925.6527.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.0927.5829.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.6925.2525.82
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.1529.8333.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Financial Bancorp.

Other Forecasting Options for First Financial

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Financial's price trends.

First Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Financial Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of First Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of First Financial's current price.

First Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Financial Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

First Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of First Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether First Financial Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Financial Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Financial Bancorp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Financial to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Financial. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.364
Dividend Share
0.97
Earnings Share
2.7
Revenue Per Share
8.614
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.18
The market value of First Financial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.