Finward Bancorp Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| FNWD Stock | USD 36.65 0.93 2.47% |
Finward Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Finward Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of Finward Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Finward Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Finward Bancorp's share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Finward Bancorp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.786 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.49 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.975 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.605 | Wall Street Target Price 39 |
Using Finward Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Finward Bancorp from the perspective of Finward Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Finward Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.97. Finward Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 36.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Finward Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. Finward Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Finward price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Finward using various technical indicators. When you analyze Finward charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Finward Bancorp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Finward Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Finward Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Finward Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Finward Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Finward Bancorp | Finward Bancorp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Finward Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Finward Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Finward Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.84 and 38.46, respectively. We have considered Finward Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Finward Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Finward Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7413 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0564 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5758 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0159 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.975 |
Predictive Modules for Finward Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finward Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Finward Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Finward Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Finward Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Finward Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Finward Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Finward Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Finward Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Finward Bancorp's historical news coverage. Finward Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.78 and 38.40, respectively. We have considered Finward Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Finward Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Finward Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Finward Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Finward Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Finward Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Finward Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.81 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.65 | 36.59 | 0.16 |
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Finward Bancorp Hype Timeline
Finward Bancorp is currently traded for 36.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Finward is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Finward Bancorp is about 553.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.58. About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Finward Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 22nd of March 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Finward Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.Finward Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Finward Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Finward Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Finward Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Finward Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCAP | First Capital | (2.96) | 8 per month | 2.49 | 0.09 | 6.23 | (4.26) | 17.93 | |
| ECBK | ECB Bancorp | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.08 | 2.00 | (1.66) | 11.46 | |
| LARK | Landmark Bancorp | (0.60) | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.03 | 3.35 | (2.95) | 7.52 | |
| CFBK | CF Bankshares | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.80 | 0.16 | 4.49 | (1.80) | 9.61 | |
| HNVR | Hanover Bancorp | (0.27) | 7 per month | 0.90 | 0.09 | 2.54 | (2.05) | 7.48 | |
| CZWI | Citizens Community Bancorp | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.78 | 0.13 | 2.36 | (1.73) | 7.50 | |
| PEBK | Peoples Bancorp of | 0.22 | 10 per month | 1.05 | 0.14 | 3.60 | (2.01) | 7.98 | |
| UBFO | United Security Bancshares | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.74 | 0.16 | 3.25 | (1.45) | 6.87 | |
| BVFL | BV Financial Common | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.11 | 3.32 | (2.59) | 9.13 | |
| MNSB | Mainstreet Bank | 0.16 | 10 per month | 1.30 | 0.08 | 3.35 | (2.64) | 7.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Finward Bancorp
For every potential investor in Finward, whether a beginner or expert, Finward Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Finward Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Finward. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Finward Bancorp's price trends.Finward Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Finward Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Finward Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Finward Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Finward Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Finward Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Finward Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Finward Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Finward Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Finward Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Finward Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Finward Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting finward stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Variance | 3.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Finward Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Finward Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Finward Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Finward Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Finward Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Finward Bancorp Short Properties
Finward Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Finward Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Finward Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Finward Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Finward Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 404.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Finward Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Finward Stock refer to our How to Trade Finward Stock guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Finward Bancorp. If investors know Finward will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Finward Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.786 | Dividend Share 0.36 | Earnings Share 1.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.187 |
The market value of Finward Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Finward that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Finward Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Finward Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Finward Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Finward Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Finward Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Finward Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Finward Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.