Franklin Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

FRAF Stock  USD 51.60  0.44  0.86%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Franklin Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 54.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.29. Franklin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Franklin Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Franklin Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Franklin Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Franklin Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Franklin Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franklin Financial Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Franklin Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.253
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.146
Using Franklin Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Financial Services from the perspective of Franklin Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Franklin Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Franklin Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Franklin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Franklin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Franklin Financial Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Franklin Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Franklin Financial.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Franklin Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 54.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.29.

Franklin Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 51.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Financial to cross-verify your projections.
The current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to decrease to 3.75. The current Asset Turnover is estimated to decrease to 0.06. The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 4.3 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 9.1 M.

Franklin Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Franklin Financial Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Franklin Financial's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-03-31
Previous Quarter
208.8 M
Current Value
189.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
57.8 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Franklin Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Franklin Financial Services value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Franklin Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Franklin Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 54.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Franklin Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Franklin FinancialFranklin Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Franklin Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Franklin Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 52.40 and 55.99, respectively. We have considered Franklin Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.60
54.20
Expected Value
55.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1952
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8571
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0168
SAESum of the absolute errors52.2855
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Franklin Financial Services. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Franklin Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Franklin Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.2151.0052.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.8150.6052.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Financial

For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin Financial's price trends.

Franklin Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Franklin Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Franklin Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Franklin Financial's current price.

Franklin Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Franklin Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Franklin Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Franklin Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Franklin Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Franklin Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Franklin Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Franklin Financial. If investors know Franklin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Franklin Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.253
Dividend Share
1.3
Earnings Share
3.49
Revenue Per Share
17.487
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.146
The market value of Franklin Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.