Global Payments Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GPN Stock | USD 67.21 4.78 6.64% |
Global Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Global Payments' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Global Payments' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Global Payments fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Global Payments' share price is approaching 34. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Global Payments, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.131 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.1655 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.2159 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.7502 | Wall Street Target Price 101.5385 |
Using Global Payments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Payments from the perspective of Global Payments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Global Payments using Global Payments' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Global using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Global Payments' stock price.
Global Payments Short Interest
An investor who is long Global Payments may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Global Payments and may potentially protect profits, hedge Global Payments with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 80.3052 | Short Percent 0.0362 | Short Ratio 3.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.1 M | 50 Day MA 77.1388 |
Global Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Global Payments on the next trading day is expected to be 67.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.11.Global Payments Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Global Payments' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Global. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Global can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Global Payments. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Global Payments' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Global Payments.
Global Payments Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Global Payments' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Global Payments stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Global Payments' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Global Payments stock will not fluctuate a lot when Global Payments' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Global Payments on the next trading day is expected to be 67.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.11. Global Payments after-hype prediction price | USD 67.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Payments to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Global contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Global Payments will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Global Payments trading at USD 67.21, that is roughly USD 0.0214 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Global Payments' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Global Payments options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Global Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Global Payments' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Global Payments' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Global Payments stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Global Payments' open interest, investors have to compare it to Global Payments' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Global Payments is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Global. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Global Payments Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Global Payments Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Global Payments on the next trading day is expected to be 67.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34, mean absolute percentage error of 2.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global Payments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Global Payments Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Global Payments | Global Payments Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Global Payments Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Global Payments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global Payments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.39 and 69.03, respectively. We have considered Global Payments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global Payments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global Payments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4459 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2213 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3409 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0178 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 79.115 |
Predictive Modules for Global Payments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Payments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Global Payments After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Payments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Payments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Payments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Payments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Payments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Payments' historical news coverage. Global Payments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.20 and 68.84, respectively. We have considered Global Payments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Payments is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Payments is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Payments Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Payments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Payments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Payments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.82 | 0.19 | 0.10 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
67.21 | 67.02 | 0.28 |
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Global Payments Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Global Payments is traded for 67.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Global is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 67.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 182.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Global Payments is about 352.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 67.31. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Global Payments has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.49. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.59. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2025. Global Payments had 2:1 split on the 3rd of November 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Payments to cross-verify your projections.Global Payments Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Payments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Payments' future price movements. Getting to know how Global Payments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Payments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RBA | RB Global | 0.22 | 11 per month | 0.90 | 0.13 | 2.23 | (1.71) | 7.27 | |
| ULS | UL Solutions | (1.58) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.60 | (3.28) | 21.27 | |
| SNA | Snap On | 10.19 | 9 per month | 0.67 | 0.14 | 1.94 | (1.44) | 3.63 | |
| LII | Lennox International | (12.01) | 7 per month | 1.43 | 0.02 | 2.75 | (2.46) | 8.58 | |
| CHRW | CH Robinson Worldwide | 1.21 | 9 per month | 0.41 | 0.23 | 3.08 | (1.70) | 22.91 | |
| FTAI | FTAI Aviation | 7.86 | 9 per month | 2.68 | 0.21 | 6.86 | (4.53) | 17.39 | |
| ACM | Aecom Technology | 0.50 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.46 | (2.59) | 12.17 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | (1.06) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.77 | (2.66) | 7.55 | |
| EXPD | Expeditors International of | (0.57) | 10 per month | 0.57 | 0.25 | 2.46 | (1.63) | 13.29 | |
| RTO | Rentokil Initial PLC | 0.40 | 8 per month | 1.00 | 0.14 | 2.95 | (2.11) | 6.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Global Payments
For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global Payments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global Payments' price trends.Global Payments Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global Payments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global Payments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Payments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Global Payments Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global Payments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global Payments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global Payments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Global Payments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 67.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 67.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.39) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.78) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 34.44 |
Global Payments Risk Indicators
The analysis of Global Payments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Global Payments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting global stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.49 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Global Payments
The number of cover stories for Global Payments depends on current market conditions and Global Payments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Payments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Payments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Payments Short Properties
Global Payments' future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Payments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Payments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Payments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Payments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Payments to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Global Stock, please use our How to Invest in Global Payments guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Will Transaction & Payment Processing Services sector continue expanding? Could Global diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Payments. Market participants price Global higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Global Payments data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.131 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 6.59 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.005 |
The market value of Global Payments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Payments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Payments' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Global Payments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Payments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Payments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Payments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Global Payments' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.