Ally Financial Stock Price Prediction
| ALLY Stock | USD 37.85 0.66 1.77% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.205 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.76 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.9875 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.3874 | Wall Street Target Price 40.6194 |
Using Ally Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ally Financial from the perspective of Ally Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Ally Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ally Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ally. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ally can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ally Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ally Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ally Financial.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ally Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ally because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ally Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 37.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ally |
Ally Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ally Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ally Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ally Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ally Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ally Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ally Financial's historical news coverage. Ally Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.13 and 40.81, respectively. We have considered Ally Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ally Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ally Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ally Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ally Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ally Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ally Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.84 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.85 | 37.97 | 0.32 |
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Ally Financial Hype Timeline
Ally Financial is presently traded for 37.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Ally is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.97 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Ally Financial is about 360.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.96. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.07 B. Net Income was 1.02 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.94 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Ally Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ally Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ally Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ally Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Ally Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ally Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AXP | American Express | 3.66 | 7 per month | 1.13 | 0.11 | 2.83 | (2.19) | 9.79 | |
| MA | Mastercard | 3.04 | 8 per month | 0.72 | 0.04 | 1.70 | (1.33) | 5.05 | |
| V | Visa Class A | 2.68 | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.08 | 2.23 | (1.30) | 7.73 | |
| PYPL | PayPal Holdings | 1.10 | 7 per month | 1.52 | 0.1 | 3.52 | (2.75) | 10.05 | |
| COF | Capital One Financial | 1.80 | 9 per month | 1.17 | 0.13 | 5.23 | (2.39) | 18.23 | |
| DFS | Discover Financial Services | (2.61) | 11 per month | 1.47 | 0.12 | 4.04 | (2.77) | 24.36 | |
| SYF-PA | Synchrony Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | (0.04) | 1.65 | (1.36) | 4.65 | |
| WU | Western Union Co | 0.14 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.84 | (2.02) | 5.82 | |
| BFH | Bread Financial Holdings | (1.66) | 10 per month | 2.91 | 0.01 | 3.78 | (4.01) | 22.97 | |
| SYF | Synchrony Financial | 2.93 | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.14 | 4.38 | (2.58) | 23.07 | |
| UPST | Upstart Holdings | (2.41) | 8 per month | 3.71 | 0.14 | 7.32 | (5.57) | 56.41 |
Ally Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ally price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ally using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ally charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ally Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ally Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ally Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ally Financial based on analysis of Ally Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ally Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ally Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0221 | 0.0638 | 0.0451 | 0.0428 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.99 | 0.97 | 1.17 | 0.86 |
Story Coverage note for Ally Financial
The number of cover stories for Ally Financial depends on current market conditions and Ally Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ally Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ally Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ally Financial Short Properties
Ally Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ally Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ally Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ally Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ally Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 305.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.4 B |
Additional Tools for Ally Stock Analysis
When running Ally Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ally Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ally Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ally Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ally Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ally Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ally Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.