Isabella Bank OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ISBA Stock  USD 51.58  1.00  1.98%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Isabella Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 54.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.04. Isabella OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Isabella Bank stock prices and determine the direction of Isabella Bank's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Isabella Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Isabella Bank's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Isabella Bank stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Isabella Bank shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Isabella Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Isabella Bank and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Isabella Bank's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Isabella Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Isabella Bank based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Isabella Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Isabella Bank from the perspective of Isabella Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Isabella Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 54.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.04.

Isabella Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 50.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Isabella Bank to cross-verify your projections.

Isabella Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Isabella price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Isabella using various technical indicators. When you analyze Isabella charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Isabella Bank price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Isabella Bank Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Isabella Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 54.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32, mean absolute percentage error of 8.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Isabella OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Isabella Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Isabella Bank OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Isabella BankIsabella Bank Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Isabella Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Isabella Bank's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Isabella Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.77 and 58.05, respectively. We have considered Isabella Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.58
54.41
Expected Value
58.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Isabella Bank otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Isabella Bank otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.0656
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.3233
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0498
SAESum of the absolute errors144.0433
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Isabella Bank historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Isabella Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Isabella Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.9450.5854.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.5256.8460.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
44.4049.8955.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Isabella Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Isabella Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Isabella Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Isabella Bank.

Isabella Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Isabella Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Isabella Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Isabella Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Isabella Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Isabella Bank's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Isabella Bank's historical news coverage. Isabella Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.94 and 54.22, respectively. We have considered Isabella Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
51.58
50.58
After-hype Price
54.22
Upside
Isabella Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Isabella Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

Isabella Bank OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Isabella Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Isabella Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Isabella Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.65 
3.64
 0.00  
  0.08 
0 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
51.58
50.58
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Isabella Bank Hype Timeline

Isabella Bank is currently traded for 51.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Isabella is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on Isabella Bank is about 2821.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.66. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Isabella Bank last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2022. The entity had 11:10 split on the 11th of March 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Isabella Bank to cross-verify your projections.

Isabella Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Isabella Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Isabella Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Isabella Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Isabella Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CBANColony Bankcorp(0.01)9 per month 0.85  0.15  2.41 (1.56) 5.33 
PLBCPlumas Bancorp 0.94 8 per month 0.72  0.11  3.00 (1.66) 5.17 
WSBFWaterstone Financial 0.00 8 per month 0.68  0.19  2.59 (1.51) 6.43 
FNLCFirst Bancorp 0.17 9 per month 1.06  0.06  3.44 (1.99) 7.07 
JMSBJohn Marshall Bancorp 0.12 9 per month 1.83  0.03  4.65 (2.82) 15.99 
CZNCCitizens Northern Corp(0.14)13 per month 1.02  0.12  2.76 (1.65) 7.23 
BCMLBayCom Corp(0.27)7 per month 1.20  0.05  3.46 (2.35) 9.92 
FSBWFS Bancorp(0.24)6 per month 0.86  0.08  3.36 (1.94) 10.30 
MBCNMiddlefield Banc 0.43 8 per month 1.46  0.11  3.95 (2.93) 21.64 
FINWFinwise Bancorp 0.29 7 per month 1.15  0  2.79 (1.96) 7.91 

Other Forecasting Options for Isabella Bank

For every potential investor in Isabella, whether a beginner or expert, Isabella Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Isabella OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Isabella. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Isabella Bank's price trends.

Isabella Bank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Isabella Bank otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Isabella Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Isabella Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Isabella Bank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Isabella Bank otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Isabella Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Isabella Bank otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Isabella Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Isabella Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of Isabella Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Isabella Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting isabella otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Isabella Bank

The number of cover stories for Isabella Bank depends on current market conditions and Isabella Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Isabella Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Isabella Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Isabella OTC Stock

Isabella Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Isabella OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Isabella with respect to the benefits of owning Isabella Bank security.