Kentucky First Federal Stock Price Prediction

KFFB Stock  USD 2.64  0.06  2.33%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Kentucky First's share price is approaching 34. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kentucky First, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

34

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kentucky First's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kentucky First Federal, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kentucky First's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Using Kentucky First hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kentucky First Federal from the perspective of Kentucky First response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kentucky First to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kentucky because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kentucky First after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Kentucky First Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.225.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.926.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.562.622.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kentucky First. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kentucky First's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kentucky First's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kentucky First Federal.

Kentucky First After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kentucky First at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kentucky First or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kentucky First, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kentucky First Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kentucky First's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kentucky First's historical news coverage. Kentucky First's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 6.26, respectively. We have considered Kentucky First's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.64
2.69
After-hype Price
6.26
Upside
Kentucky First is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kentucky First Federal is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kentucky First Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kentucky First is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kentucky First backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kentucky First, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
3.57
  0.05 
  0.02 
6 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.64
2.69
1.89 
1,700  
Notes

Kentucky First Hype Timeline

Kentucky First Federal is now traded for 2.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Kentucky is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.89%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Kentucky First is about 5492.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.66. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.04 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Kentucky First Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kentucky First Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kentucky First's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kentucky First's future price movements. Getting to know how Kentucky First's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kentucky First may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.29) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 4 per month 2.43 (0.02) 3.82 (4.31) 21.70 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.09  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 1.25  0.03  3.69 (2.95) 8.55 
CRZBFCommerzbank AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  2.93  0.00  21.75 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
ISTRInvestar Holding Corp 0.17 7 per month 1.13  0.16  3.56 (2.50) 17.09 
CBANColony Bankcorp 0.26 9 per month 0.99  0.1  2.69 (1.97) 16.22 
SMBCSouthern Missouri Bancorp(0.82)7 per month 1.49  0.08  4.99 (3.04) 19.16 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares 0.06 8 per month 0.44 (0.20) 0.71 (0.65) 4.44 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp 0.02 6 per month 0.55 (0) 1.63 (1.22) 3.88 
OCFCPOceanFirst Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.32 (0.18) 0.94 (0.76) 2.34 
GLBZGlen Burnie Bancorp 0.33 5 per month 2.52  0.03  6.34 (5.64) 17.28 
FDBCFidelity DD Bancorp 1.68 7 per month 2.18  0.05  5.30 (3.75) 15.54 
CCFNCCFNB Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.49  0.02  3.28 (2.94) 9.20 

Kentucky First Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kentucky price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kentucky using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kentucky charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kentucky First Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kentucky First stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kentucky First Federal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kentucky First based on analysis of Kentucky First hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kentucky First's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kentucky First's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02130.0270.02620.0156
Price To Sales Ratio7.155.513.543.37

Story Coverage note for Kentucky First

The number of cover stories for Kentucky First depends on current market conditions and Kentucky First's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kentucky First is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kentucky First's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Kentucky First Short Properties

Kentucky First's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kentucky First's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kentucky First Federal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kentucky First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kentucky First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.3 M

Complementary Tools for Kentucky Stock analysis

When running Kentucky First's price analysis, check to measure Kentucky First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kentucky First is operating at the current time. Most of Kentucky First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kentucky First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kentucky First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kentucky First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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