Martin Marietta Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| MLM Stock | USD 690.00 19.05 2.84% |
Martin Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Martin Marietta's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Martin Marietta hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Martin Marietta Materials from the perspective of Martin Marietta response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Martin Marietta Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 677.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 480.50. Martin Marietta after-hype prediction price | USD 670.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Martin Marietta to cross-verify your projections. Martin Marietta Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Martin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Martin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Martin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Martin Marietta Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Martin Marietta Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 677.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.88, mean absolute percentage error of 97.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 480.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Martin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Martin Marietta's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Martin Marietta Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Martin Marietta | Martin Marietta Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Martin Marietta Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Martin Marietta's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Martin Marietta's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 675.96 and 678.90, respectively. We have considered Martin Marietta's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Martin Marietta stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Martin Marietta stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.6946 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.877 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0124 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 480.4979 |
Predictive Modules for Martin Marietta
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Martin Marietta Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Martin Marietta After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Martin Marietta at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Martin Marietta or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Martin Marietta, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Martin Marietta Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Martin Marietta's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Martin Marietta's historical news coverage. Martin Marietta's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 669.36 and 672.22, respectively. We have considered Martin Marietta's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Martin Marietta is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Martin Marietta Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.
Martin Marietta Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Martin Marietta is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Martin Marietta backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Martin Marietta, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
690.00 | 670.79 | 0.02 |
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Martin Marietta Hype Timeline
On the 7th of February Martin Marietta Materials is traded for 690.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Martin is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 670.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Martin Marietta is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 690.00. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Martin Marietta was now reported as 161.42. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.01. Martin Marietta Materials last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Martin Marietta to cross-verify your projections.Martin Marietta Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Martin Marietta's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Martin Marietta's future price movements. Getting to know how Martin Marietta's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Martin Marietta may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VMC | Vulcan Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | 0.06 | 2.40 | (2.58) | 8.21 | |
| AMRZ | Amrize | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | 0.12 | 3.71 | (2.84) | 7.17 | |
| FNV | Franco Nevada | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.55 | 0.1 | 3.43 | (3.33) | 15.02 | |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0.24 | 3.50 | (2.20) | 6.60 | |
| CTVA | Corteva | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.07 | 2.24 | (1.41) | 7.27 | |
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.62 | 0.1 | 6.28 | (4.74) | 23.45 | |
| AU | AngloGold Ashanti plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.59 | 0.15 | 6.21 | (5.21) | 21.11 | |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.46 | 0.14 | 4.16 | (4.28) | 18.32 | |
| JHX | James Hardie Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.20 | 4.42 | (2.58) | 10.48 | |
| MT | ArcelorMittal SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | 0.33 | 4.25 | (1.47) | 8.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Martin Marietta
For every potential investor in Martin, whether a beginner or expert, Martin Marietta's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Martin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Martin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Martin Marietta's price trends.Martin Marietta Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Martin Marietta stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Martin Marietta could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Martin Marietta by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Martin Marietta Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Martin Marietta stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Martin Marietta shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Martin Marietta stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Martin Marietta Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.026 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.054817 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 684.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 686.34 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 18.06 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 15.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 19.05 |
Martin Marietta Risk Indicators
The analysis of Martin Marietta's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Martin Marietta's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting martin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Martin Marietta
The number of cover stories for Martin Marietta depends on current market conditions and Martin Marietta's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Martin Marietta is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Martin Marietta's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Martin Marietta Short Properties
Martin Marietta's future price predictability will typically decrease when Martin Marietta's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Martin Marietta Materials often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Martin Marietta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Martin Marietta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 670 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Martin Marietta to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Will Construction Materials sector continue expanding? Could Martin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Martin Marietta. Expected growth trajectory for Martin significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Martin Marietta data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Martin Marietta Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Martin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Martin Marietta's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Martin Marietta's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Martin Marietta's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Martin Marietta's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Martin Marietta's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Martin Marietta represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Martin Marietta's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.