OneMain Holdings Stock Forward View

OMF Stock  USD 65.54  0.56  0.85%   
OneMain Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of OneMain Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The relative strength indicator of OneMain Holdings' share price is at 50. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling OneMain Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of OneMain Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of OneMain Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from OneMain Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with OneMain Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting OneMain Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.275
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.591
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.616
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.9275
Wall Street Target Price
74.7857
Using OneMain Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OneMain Holdings from the perspective of OneMain Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OneMain Holdings using OneMain Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OneMain using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OneMain Holdings' stock price.

OneMain Holdings Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in OneMain Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards OneMain. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of OneMain Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
58.2711
Short Percent
0.0381
Short Ratio
3.85
Shares Short Prior Month
5.1 M
50 Day MA
65.7924

OneMain Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneMain Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 67.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.67.

OneMain Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to OneMain Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in OneMain. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding OneMain can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around OneMain Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of OneMain Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about OneMain Holdings.

OneMain Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.47  
OneMain Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OneMain Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OneMain Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OneMain Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when OneMain Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneMain Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 67.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.67.

OneMain Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 65.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneMain Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in OneMain Stock please use our How to Invest in OneMain Holdings guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current OneMain contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that OneMain Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With OneMain Holdings trading at USD 65.54, that is roughly USD 0.0193 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating OneMain Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring OneMain Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 OneMain Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast OneMain Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in OneMain Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for OneMain Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current OneMain Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to OneMain Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of OneMain Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in OneMain. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

OneMain Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine OneMain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OneMain using various technical indicators. When you analyze OneMain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

OneMain Holdings Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the OneMain Holdings' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-12-31
Previous Quarter
769 M
Current Value
407 M
Quarterly Volatility
843 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for OneMain Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of OneMain Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

OneMain Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneMain Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 67.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 1.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OneMain Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OneMain Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

OneMain Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest OneMain Holdings  OneMain Holdings Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

OneMain Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting OneMain Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OneMain Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.50 and 68.94, respectively. We have considered OneMain Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
65.54
67.22
Expected Value
68.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OneMain Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OneMain Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.448
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9453
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0145
SAESum of the absolute errors57.6658
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of OneMain Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict OneMain Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for OneMain Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OneMain Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.8265.5467.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.7854.5072.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
62.2666.9571.64
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
68.0574.7983.01
Details

OneMain Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of OneMain Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OneMain Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OneMain Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

OneMain Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting OneMain Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OneMain Holdings' historical news coverage. OneMain Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 63.82 and 67.26, respectively. We have considered OneMain Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
65.54
65.54
After-hype Price
67.26
Upside
OneMain Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OneMain Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

OneMain Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OneMain Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OneMain Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OneMain Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
1.72
  0.01 
  0.14 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
65.54
65.54
0.00 
4,300  
Notes

OneMain Holdings Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of February OneMain Holdings is traded for 65.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. OneMain is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on OneMain Holdings is about 209.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.40. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of OneMain Holdings was now reported as 28.54. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.61. OneMain Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.85. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneMain Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in OneMain Stock please use our How to Invest in OneMain Holdings guide.

OneMain Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to OneMain Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OneMain Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how OneMain Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OneMain Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OBDCBlue Owl Capital(0.26)11 per month 0.00 (0.10) 1.93 (1.69) 6.93 
SYFSynchrony Financial 0.48 8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.67 (3.58) 12.73 
FCFSFirstCash(1.87)9 per month 1.61  0.09  2.56 (2.65) 12.46 
SLMSLM Corp(0.70)13 per month 0.00 (0.03) 3.45 (3.17) 20.19 
AXSAXIS Capital Holdings(0.14)10 per month 1.10  0.11  2.01 (2.29) 8.59 
VOYAVoya Financial(0.21)11 per month 1.42  0.02  2.25 (1.78) 8.14 
BPOPPopular(3.66)10 per month 1.40  0.14  2.90 (2.44) 6.73 
MARAMarathon Digital Holdings(0.22)4 per month 0.00 (0.23) 6.57 (7.12) 20.04 

Other Forecasting Options for OneMain Holdings

For every potential investor in OneMain, whether a beginner or expert, OneMain Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OneMain Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OneMain. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OneMain Holdings' price trends.

OneMain Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OneMain Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OneMain Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OneMain Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

OneMain Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OneMain Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OneMain Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OneMain Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OneMain Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

OneMain Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of OneMain Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OneMain Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting onemain stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for OneMain Holdings

The number of cover stories for OneMain Holdings depends on current market conditions and OneMain Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OneMain Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OneMain Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

OneMain Holdings Short Properties

OneMain Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when OneMain Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OneMain Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OneMain Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OneMain Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B
When determining whether OneMain Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze OneMain Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact OneMain Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding OneMain Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneMain Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in OneMain Stock please use our How to Invest in OneMain Holdings guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Can Consumer Finance industry sustain growth momentum? Does OneMain have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OneMain Holdings. Anticipated expansion of OneMain directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating OneMain Holdings demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.275
Dividend Share
4.16
Earnings Share
5.85
Revenue Per Share
24.279
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.206
OneMain Holdings's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on OneMain's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate OneMain Holdings' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since OneMain Holdings' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between OneMain Holdings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding OneMain Holdings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, OneMain Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.